Catsailor.com

US Sail boat sales down

Posted By: grob

US Sail boat sales down - 06/08/05 05:26 PM

"The 2004 RECREATIONAL BOATING - Statistical Abstract" is just out and it seems that sailboat sales is the biggest loser in the recreational boating markets.


http://nmma.org/facts/boatingstats/2004/files/market1.asp

I am not quite sure what to make of these figres as the total number of sailes is down but the value of sales is up. My guess is that these figures include dinghies cats etc as the average price of the boats surveyed seems quite low, $36,000.
Posted By: Jalani

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/08/05 06:05 PM

The more worrying thing is the trend!

I imagine that European figures would follow the same pattern.
Posted By: Timbo

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 02:55 AM

Um...loss of the middle class? You have a situation where the middle class is being out sourced but the CEO's are making a killing, so the Larry Ellison's of the country are buying more expensive toys while his workers are selling theirs.

Did you see the news on General Motors yesterday? 25,000 US layoffs. You think any of those 25,000 people are going to buy a new boat?

And you can thank everyone out there who voted for Bush, the guy who said "Outsourcing is GOOD for America..."
Posted By: wyatt

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 12:38 PM

You're right, Timbo:

We should become isolationists in the 21st Century. Let's start with Florida and not let anyone bring anything in or out. What's the political situation got to do with boat sales? I don't think it's fair to use a friendly website to slam politics. We're not here for that...

America, what a wonderful country.
Wyatt
Posted By: Robi

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 01:11 PM

I think Tims point is that sales have declined do to the poor ecomonical status the US in is right now. Specially gas prices, the war and the ongoing recession. Everything boils down to politics beleive it not. Politics in one way or another effects us all.
Posted By: sail6000

Re: US Sail boat sales - - 06/09/05 01:17 PM



Well ,-the good news is the OBNOXIOUS PWC category is in decline with numbers sold ,--though noticed the numbers sold of power craft is continuing upward in all other categories .-

And speaking of obnoxious trends timbo-,As Wyat noted below ,--the political knee jerk reaction to blame everything imaginable on the current administration is childish at best.

GM -the trend over decades now , imports of the 80s-90s ,the move to robotics and numeric control machines that replace human assembley line workers is one that has occured and will into the future regardless of politics .
CEO corruption --you noted --you may also note it is only now during this admin. that new laws have been placed in effect and the false accounting practises exposed and those involved brought to justice to stop it , much of the actual corrupt practises occuring over a long period of time and worst during the previous admin.as we find by reading the testimony and facts .

The successfull traditions and ideals of basic human freedom ,including free enterprize and in larger sence western liberalism --in the true sence of the word --not political sence -that this nation is built upon is as Wyat also noted creates a wonderfull country --and opportunity for a better world in larger context-

here is an excellent article --perhaps you need to read a wider range of opinion from various information perspective sources-
read only if interested --non sailing -
June 6, 2005
Western Liberalism Is the Only Idea Left Standing
by Victor Davis Hanson
Tribune Media Services

The French and Dutch rebuffs of the European Union constitution will soon be followed by other rejections. Millions of proud, educated Europeans are tired of being told by unelected grandees that the mess they see is really abstract art.

The EU constitution—and its promise of a new Europe— supposedly offered a corrective to the Anglo-American strain of Western civilization. More government, higher taxes, richer entitlements, pacifism, statism and atheism would make a more humane and powerful new continent of more than 400 million to outpace a retrograde U.S. Instead, Europe faces a declining population, unassimilated minorities, low growth, high unemployment and an inability to defend itself, either militarily or morally. Somehow the directorate of the EU has figured out how to have too few citizens while having too many of them out of work.

The only question that remains is just how low will the 100,000 bureaucrats of the European Union go in shrieking to their defiant electorates as they stampede for the exits.

In fact, 2005 is a culmination of dying ideas. Despite the boasts and threats, almost every political alternative to Western liberalism over the last quarter-century is crashing or already in flames.

China's red-hot economy—something like America's of 1870, before unionization, environmentalism and federal regulation— shows just how dead communism is. Will Vietnam, North Korea and Cuba go out with a bang or a whimper? If North Korea's nutty communiques, Hugo Chavez's shouting about oil boycotts and Fidel Castro's harangues sound desperate, it's because they all are.

Fascism has long vacated its birthplace in Europe. The fragments of the former Soviet autocracy are democratizing. The caudillos are gone from Latin America. The last enclave of dictators is the Middle East. Yet after Saddam Hussein's capture in a cesspool, their hold is slipping too. There will probably not be an Assad III or a second Mubarak.

The real suspense is whether the Gulf royals can make good on their promises of reform and elections. Will they end up like pampered Windsors or go the ignominious way of the Shah of Iran? In desperation, the apparatchik journalists in the state-controlled Arab press are damning the United States, the avatar of change. Then there is bankrupt Islamic fundamentalism. The zealots can always tape a beheading or turn out a few thousand to burn an American flag. But the Taliban are gone from power. Iran is facing popular disgust at home, while its desperate nuclear plots are waking up even a comatose Europe. And the promise of a return to the 8th Century has always had an appeal limited to a few thousand pampered elites, like Osama bin Laden, Dr. Zawahiri or Zarqawi. These losers figured they might become Saladins if they convinced an Arab populace that the Jews and America, not their own corrupt regimes, kept them poor. Now they are reduced to ranting about the evils of democracy.

The Islamicists offered nothing to galvanize the Arab masses other than nihilism. That doctrine feeds or employs no one. Instead, we witness the creepy threats and the pyrotechnics of a lunatic ideology going the way of Bushido and the kamikazes.

Why all these upheavals?

Global communications now reveal hourly to people abroad how much better life is in Europe than in the Middle East and Asia— and how in America, Australia and Britain the standard of living is even better than in most of Europe.

The removal of the Taliban and Hussein and their replacement with democracies proved that the United States after Sept. 11, 2001, was neither weak nor cynical. In fact, it was the utopian United Nations, with its oil-for-food program, snoozing in Darfur and scandals about peacekeepers, that proved corrupt and unreliable.

What are we left with then?

Democracy, open markets, personal freedom, individual rights, pride in national traditions, worry about big government—about what we see in the United States, Britain, Australia and their allies in Japan and the breakaway countries in Europe. Elections in Ethiopia, France, Iraq, Lebanon and Ukraine all point to a desire for more freedom from central state control.

Embers of communism, fascism, theocracy and socialism, of course, will always flare up should we become complacent or arrogant. Wounded beasts like Iran, North Korea and bin Laden are most dangerous before they expire. Expect discredited EU bureaucrats to conjure up the specter of the American bogeyman before they pension out.

Still, the racket and clamor from all these anti-democratic ideas in 2005 are not birth pangs, but the bitter death throes of those whose time is about past.

©2005 Victor Davis Hanson

Posted By: Wouter

Re: US Sail boat sales - - 06/09/05 01:47 PM



What a load of BS Carl.

Tell mr Hanson that he should take a plane to either France and the Netherlands and really find out why the vote was "No"; instead of making things up about it. The guy is on a "full spectral dominance" wet dream ride. During his flight he should pick up a book on world history and study the chapters about "Iran-Shah", European Social-democracy and popular revolts in favour of free markets. The last bit can be a bit difficult as there never was such a thing in World history.

You listen to AM hate-radio to much Carl.

Posted By: Timbo

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 02:18 PM

Wyatt, let's see if you feel the same when Hadji from India is doing your job for 10 cents on the dollar, and you are selling your boat.

I realize this is not the place for a political debate, sorry if it sounded like I was trying to start one, I'm not. The thread is about falling boat sales, I just put my 2 cents in on why I think it is happening. Why do you think it is happening?
Posted By: orphan

World out of proper orbit - - 06/09/05 02:20 PM

You know things in the world have changed when Wouter's posts are short and he is calling someone else's post BS.
Posted By: Timbo

Re: World out of proper orbit - - 06/09/05 02:41 PM

But why are boat sales falling?
Posted By: sbflyer

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 03:03 PM

Shrinking middle class, families where both parents are having to work,including weekends, to cover costs like health insurance, more and more communities where nosy neighbors complain about stored boats, and more families that don't see the simple fun of going to the beach or their local lake for the weekend to share time together as an option....maybe..
Posted By: Jake

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 03:09 PM

This report only reflects NEW boats so before we should start crying about a dying market (and blaiming our governements), we should also consider the used boat market. Since the introduction of fiberglass construction, the used boat market has never been the same. I bought a 21 year old 23' monohull last year, restored it (no structural issues), and it looks like new for less than $6000. There are a LOT of used sailboats out there and I venture to guess that the used boat sales are climbing in about opposite proportion to the new boat sales.
Posted By: Timbo

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 04:13 PM

Also, if you can't get to the water, you can't go boating. It's getting harder to find a spot to put in that has not been bought and developed, then closed to the public. Just look at what's going on in Key Largo.

Hey, where do used boats come from anyway??
Posted By: MauganN20

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 04:27 PM

Lets also consider the fact that people these days are less and less willing to put themselves in debt for a luxury item such as a boat.

the 90's burned people when the fake economic "boom" busted. People were left with gobs of debt and no job.

You can't look at numbers like this in a box and just throw out statements like "LOOK HOW BAD THE ECONOMY IS!!!! SEE!!" or even relate something like this to the well-being of the middle class.
Posted By: sail6000

Re: US Sail boats - 06/09/05 04:45 PM

Hi Wout
Been out on a beautifull lake front building site laying out a home designed and taking topos with the engineers and surveyor most of the morning--electronics and survey equipement are amazing nowdays,-GPS related --also overseeing the construction phase along with the design of the home and really enjoying the process on this beautifull warm sunny breezy day.-the project looks good ,-the lakefront home project will employ 100s of people locally .
The lake ,evan for a work-day was full of boats of all types , nice to see .

I,m sorry the author's article upset you on a personal level ,and that your reaction is to attempt to insult me on a personal level ,-so in some ways I,m pleased that the author has invoked that responce that challenges you to think, evan though misguidedly .-{-by the way I don,t listen to am radio or talk shows ,-just the local radio station with a very D bias ABC news }.

It is amazing how people that accuse others of a human failing --as per your hate comment ,--is generally always better applied to themselves . I can agree with you wout on numerous subjects and be supportive of your efforts -
Formula 16 --ratings improvement ,--disliking ugly americans -{who remain nameless} --but I can disagree with you on EU or socialistic notions and don,t have to accuse or attempt to personally insult as result -just disagree .
I think you missed the larger point and intent of VDH's article which is in part as you noted that in history all great civilizations had the common theme of free marketplace and healthy middle class that partisipated in it .--as per Amsterdam etc .
Don,t think he meant to imply that this is exclusive in history or will be in the future ,--just brief commentary on the numerous obvious problems the EU is currently inflicted with.
The author VDH is a history PROF .and author of several books ,-He is also a farmer in Calif ,-his Scandanavian heritage only a coupe generations removed immigrating to raise mainly grapes -raisins in Calif though mainly a prof. in Calif..

Recall numerous very offensive comments you have made over time about the US ,---i e --on our veterans day posting about the evils of US military personell and how you believe Stalin defeated Nazi Germany etc etc etc ,---

I have a long family history of military sevice dating back to the US revolutionary war ,---your EU bias ingrained teachings are insulting at times ,--though I understand the bias and EU perspective,--interestly I have family extentions to both sides of the US revolutionary war ,-my grandmothers side remaining loyalists in 1775 and moving to present day Canada where I still have relatives in Toronto.-The other side fighting redcoats of the time, in latter centuries fighting alongside to defeat Nazi-Germany and Imperial Japan .
An example /indicator of how wars -conflicts in history and seeming enemies become friends -good neighbors and evan extended family ,-and trusted allies in future history ---again the common theme is basic human freedom -self consentual govt .and free healthy marketplace in common along with free trade .
The most current examples are the former Soviet nations of Eastern EU Hanson lists in the article, as well as mideast nations noted.

Here is another Hanson article for you --just to set the record straight on that pesky Stalin issue ---enjoy
How the 'Cowboys' of the West Defeated the Nazis
By Victor Davis Hanson

This article appeared in the Wall Street Journal on May 9, 2005.

President Bush is in Moscow's Red Square today, celebrating the 60th anniversary of the Allied victory over Nazi Germany on May 8, 1945. Less than four years earlier, Hitler had declared war on the "cowboys" of the U.S. following Japan's attack on Pearl Harbor. When America in response entered the world conflagration, the Nazis had already been fighting Britain for 27 months and the Soviet Union for over five — and seemed days away from knocking the Russians out of the war. The ascendant Reich and its Axis protectorates stretched from the Arctic Circle to the Sahara Desert and from the English Channel to near the suburbs of Moscow, gobbling up more territory in three years than had Alexander, Caesar and Napoleon in their entire bloody careers.

Just three-and-a-half years after America's abrupt entry into the war the Nazis were not merely checked or defeated — but rather annihilated in one of the most brutal and extraordinary military achievements in history. The American ordeal was not without heartbreak and hard choices. In the present age of national furor over WMD intelligence failures and inadequately armored Humvees, we forget that World War II was largely a test of whether an America ill-prepared for war would make fewer fatal mistakes than its battle-hardened Nazi adversaries.

Heroic unescorted daylight bombing over Europe in 1942-43 proved an American bloodbath. If the intelligence for the Normandy invasion was impressive, the fighting during the next six weeks in the bloody hedgerows was tragically a near-disaster due to inexplicable ignorance about the landscape of the bocage, just a few thousand yards from the beaches. Well-meaning but flawed ideas about the requisite amount of armor and firepower of tanks led to permanent battlefield superiority for the Panzers, costing thousands of American lives. Pleasant mediocrities like Mark Clark were sometimes promoted; scary authentic military geniuses such as George Patton were occasionally ostracized. Repeatedly, we failed to destroy retreating and trapped German armies in Sicily, Italy and Normandy in the summers of 1943 and 1944. We had not a clue about Hitler's buildup of 250,000 attackers on the eve of the Battle of the Bulge. Strategically, critics complained that the war had broken out to prevent Eastern Europe from being absorbed by a totalitarian power only to end up ensuring that it was.

For all the horror of Hitler's culture of death, to end it we were put in the morally ambiguous position of aiding Stalin, who had killed millions more of his own Russians than the Nazis ever did. An ironic dividend of the wreckage of war was that tens of millions who had once chafed under the paternalism of the aristocratic Victorian imperialists were now for the next half-century to be enslaved under the savage socialist emissaries of the Soviet Union.

Nevertheless, on V-E Day, Hitler and Mussolini were gone, Europe was liberated, the Holocaust ended, and the Americans free to finish off the waning militarists of Japan. Credit for victory was not ours alone. Our British and Soviet allies had fought longer and killed far more Germans. Hitler's follies — the invasion of the Soviet Union, the belated mobilization of the German economy, the misapplication of his frightening new weaponry, and his sometimes lunatic intrusion into military decision-making — all helped.

Revisionists now tend to credit the lion's share of the Allied victory over Hitler to the Soviets who probably killed two out of every three soldiers of the Wehrmacht. Yet the Russians waged a one-front war in comparison to the Anglo-Americans. They did not invade Italy or North Africa, and opportunistically took on an already defeated Japan only in the very last days of the war. Global submarine campaigning, surface naval warfare, long-range strategic bombing, massive logistical aid — all vital to the allied success, were beyond the scope of monolithic Russian power.

The Americans and British went from the windswept and hard-to-supply beaches of Normandy to the heart of Germany — on some routes about the same distance as Moscow to Berlin — in about a fourth of the time it took the beleaguered Red Army to cross into Germany. How did our forefathers pull it off, and are there any wartime lessons that we can distill from their accomplishment?

What destroyed the Nazis was the combination of American matériel and the zeal of large democratic conscript armies that, despite little preparation or experience, within mere months proved as formidable as their more experienced German adversaries. By the time the Americans were through, they had built 100,000 armored vehicles, 300,000 planes, 27 aircraft carriers and mustered 12 million people into the military. Indeed, by May 9, 1945, nearly 20 million more Americans were working than in 1939.

What the highly individualistic GI may have lacked in discipline, he more than made up with improvisation and initiative. Rambunctious Americans were innately mechanical and at home racing through Europe on their machines of mobile war. A free press at home debated decisions, and a popular and re-elected president explained how the sacrifices of war were tied to the higher good of democracy and freedom — and hence ultimately to national security. Gone was the old notion that two oceans ensured parochial Americans a pass from the perennial mess overseas or that the advent of industrial wealth abroad brought with it reasoned foreign leaders free from primitive emotions.

Once the Axis declared war, the U.S. did not have much patience with arguments that Hitler had legitimate grievances arising out of World War I or that clumsy American diplomacy had incited the fascists in Tokyo. Naiveté and the appearance of weakness in the face of bullies — not an accident, an old wrong, or a misplaced word — were agreed to have prompted attack.

The generation that was forced to ignite enemy cities, send billions in aid to a mass-murdering Stalin, bomb French rail yards, and deploy soldiers who sometimes fought with obsolete equipment, felt that they did not have to be perfect to know that they were good — and far better than the enemy. For them, war was never an easy utopian alternative between the perfect and the bad, but instead so often a horrific conundrum of bad choices versus those far worse — victory going only to those who had greater preponderance of right, made the fewer mistakes, and outlasted the enemy.

©2005 Victor Davis Hanson

-AND HERE IS ANOTHER Hanson argues the other side of being overly zealous in crediting the US military .
-Victor Davis Hanson

“An Overextended Argument. A reply to John Mosier’s “War Myths””

John Mosier’s revisionist examination of the First World War has a great deal of merit. Most historians, especially in the United Kingdom, have both underplayed the critical role of the American army that began arriving in force in 1917 and underappreciated the record of qualitative superiority of the German army over its Allied counterparts. After all, when Russia was at last knocked out, German armies, undefeated on two fronts, combined in the West against exhausted and depleted enemies, only to lose the war in less than two years. Mosier is absolutely right to emphasize these facts and to argue that only the American Expeditionary Force (AEF) accounted for victory snatched from the jaws of defeat.

Yet there is a fallacy of overextending that argument, as for example, when he emphasizes that the British only occupied 15% of the battle line on the Western Front — as if the allocation of terrain is a better gauge of military efficacy than, say, the relative numbers of Germans killed by the British or the contribution of British technology in critical areas like tank or aircraft innovation. This larger question of the proper credit for the Allied victory in the First World War can never be properly adjudicated, since it hinges on fundamental and often intangible questions of emotion and human nature. Is credit for victory (in any context) to be given to those who hold off the enemy, while suffering horrendous casualties, only to be saved by late arrivals? Or do the laurels deservedly belong to their eleventh-hour rescuers, without whose timely appearance in force the previous sacrifice would have proven in vain? “They” say we came late, suffered little, and stole the show; “we” retort that we arrived in the nick of time to save them from defeat in their own war. Both claims have merit and I don’t see how Mosier or any others will quite settle the relative arguments, although he is to be congratulated for emphasizing the other side of the often forgotten equation.

Mosier again reveals a penchant for revisionist insight when it comes to Blitzkrieg — and yet again simplifies elements of his often zealous argument to the point of caricature. He seems to think that Blitzkrieg was a static method, that its success or failure hinged on the basis of some theory chiseled in stone, independent of time and space. But was that really true outside of the handbooks of a few strategists who were still shaken by the trench holocausts of the First World War?

In fact, in certain instances, Blitzkrieg was a far superior tactic to mass infantry charges, entrenchment, or static and incremental patrolling — but only if particular prerequisite conditions were first met. Good weather, fairly level and unobstructed terrain, and ample gas and supplies were all essential for sustained mobility and advancement. Only tactical air support made the fast moving use of armor on a narrow front safe from flank attack — as Patton and Pete Quesada proved in August 1944.

In contrast, factor in rain, clouds, or snow — whether in the case of the 1941 final German late autumn approach to Moscow, Patton at Metz, Market-Garden, or the December 1944 German advance into the Ardennes — and motorized columns could stall and become vulnerable to counterattack by even small pockets of well-led infantry. Add in the problem of supply lines that were either stretched or for a time nonexistent, and then persistence in Blitzkrieg was a prescription for a disastrous combination of impassable roads, out-of-gas tanks, fog and clouds hampering fighter support, and armor offering easy targets in mountain roads and forests.

If Mosier’s argument is that the efficacy of Blitzkrieg has been exaggerated as a cure-all wonder strategy, thus distorting our own appreciation of the real pulse of the war, then he is, of course, mostly correct. In fact, armored breakout was just an alternate method of rapid advancement ushered in by the internal combustion engine, whose efficacy depended on an astute general who knew when and when not to employ it. Blitzkrieg does wonders when you want to outflank the Iraqi army in the deserts outside Kuwait or reach Baghdad in a rapid anabasis along the Tigris-Euphrates Valley in just three weeks. But it proves of little value in taking the streets of Fallujah or ejecting killers from a mosque in Najaf.

So if the weight of Mosier’s argument is that Blitzkrieg brought no real novel advantages to warfare and instead was counterproductive, then it is once again a thesis taken too far. Dismissing Blitzkrieg’s efficacy takes no account of the radical change on the battlefield that tanks, motorized transport, and tactical air support could achieve in mere days — not merely encircling and surrounding less mobile enemy forces, but also in achieving a psychological toll that might exceed the actual severity of the attack.

Mosier fails to distinguish between what we should call “good” and “bad” Blitzkrieg. His apparent assumption is that unthinking swashbucklers always thought as if they were doctrine theorists such as Fuller or Liddell Hart. Yet read Patton’s frantic comments in August 1944 when he was already worried that stretched supply lines, reduced enemy interior lines, shorter days, bad weather, and rough muddy terrain on the horizon would soon grind his advance to a halt before crossing into Germany. Even advocates like Rommel, Guderian, and Patton accepted, whether by instinct or bitter experience, that there were times when the unleashing of supposedly rapid moving tank columns proved neither rapid nor even successful. Patton, for all his bluster, privately knew that his lateral rescue sprint to Bastogne in snow over icy narrow mountain roads in sub-zero weather was not going to be anything like the past race around Paris.

By the same token, many on the German general staff anticipated that the so-called von Runstedt offensive of December 1944 would be doomed in a way the similar 1940 strike was not — given the changed strategic calculus, the nature of the respective enemies, changed weather conditions, and the absence of even minimal reserves of petrol. In fact, the initial German breakthrough of late December showed the full irony of Hitler’s idiocy: adherence to a sound concept in absolutely the wrong conditions; rapid advance with only a few days of logistical reserves; little air support when the weather cleared; and thrusting a long column into an enormous foe when there were no more reserves to protect the base.

Similarly, inclement weather and fighting on the defense in mountainous terrain favored the Finns — for a time. That the Russians may have thought massed armor assaults under such impossible conditions were viable is hardly a referendum on the efficacy per se of Blitzkrieg. Mosier at times seems to forget that to astute practitioners Blitzkrieg, like all military strategies, was simply one of many alternatives suitable for a given time and place.

Had Grant sought to outflank Lee and march to his rear without first defeating him in Northern Virginia, he probably would have failed with disastrous consequences for Lincoln in a vulnerable Washington. But such a foolish move would not necessarily have been a referendum on the logic of the so-called “indirect approach,” much less a harbinger that a firebrand like Sherman would fail in Georgia and the Carolinas when he tried avoiding battle and advancing deep into enemy country without communications, flank protection, or logistical support (but in more favorable terrain, in a wider theater of operations, with an entirely different army, and against commanders unlike Robert E. Lee). In fact, the Grant-Sherman partnership is a good antidote to Mosier’s various theses, reminding us that it is hard to give credit to victory to a particular army in a multifaceted struggle replete with differing types of sacrifice, and that certain theories of advance are not only predicated on particular favorable conditions, but also only work in concert with their radically opposite counterparts.

The same pattern of overgeneralization is again true of Mosier’s critique of strategic air power. It likewise was not a static concept. Sending lumbering bombers over targets at high altitudes, without fighter support, when wedded to the illusion of pinpoint accuracy with a small load of high explosives was naïve and surely not worth the sacrifice of devastating losses in crews and planes. By 1942-43 the Army Air Corps nearly wrecked itself over Europe, proving that the grand claims of air advocates of the 1930s were lunatic.

Or were they? In the rapidly changing contexts of World War II what was true in 1942 (Mosier’s “right from the start of the war”) was not necessarily so in 1944-45, either in Europe or over Japan. Fast fighter escorts with drop tanks, improved versions of the B-17s, the entrance of the latest model Lancasters, and the appearance of the B-29 in the Pacific, coupled with the frequent use of incendiaries in loads of well over 10 tons per plane, soon spelled the loss of entire cities and a resulting disruption in enemy industrial production, communications, and transportation that in a cost/benefit analysis (if we dare use such terminology when speaking of mass death) could more than justify the (vastly reduced) losses in strategic aircraft. Moreover, much of the successes over Europe in 1944-5 were borne on the experience bought so dearly in 1942.

That Germany did not have successful four-engine bombers with long-range fighter escorts eventually proved deleterious for its cause for a variety of reasons. Neither Russia nor England (much less the United States) redeployed critical artillery for anti-aircraft use around its major cities to the same degree as the Germans. Therefore they were free to use far more of their available heavy guns on the ground in their offensives against panzers. And this question of degree is important. Both Americans and Germans diverted fighters from ground support to dogfights over the German cities. But the Americans had far more planes to spare and were inflicting bombing damage in the process; the Germans sought to defend the homeland and diverted their precious fighters from attacking rapid Allied armor advances.

The belated use of V-1s and V-2s was a disastrous strategic blunder, precisely because it allotted scarce capital and labor to weaponry that in comparison to a Lancaster or B-17 was a terribly inefficient means of dropping a ton of explosive per Mark spent. And as Williamson Murray has variously shown, it is not accurate to imply that historians are correct in concluding that “the strategic bombing campaign in Europe was hardly a howling success” — even if we look only at the larger picture of the vast diversion of resources to prevent air attacks, the inefficient restructuring of the German economy to adapt to daily bombing, and the real effect that the destruction of urban cores had on transportation and communications. The Americans, unlike either the Germans or Russians, waged a multifaceted war involving surface ships, merchant marine convoys, and a variety of land, sea, and air forces over two vast theaters, an effort in which Blitzkrieg and strategic bombing played key, but not necessarily always the key, roles.

Examine the failed German blitz of 1940, and Douhet looks like a crackpot prophet. But look again at March to August 1945 when Curtis LeMay’s Superfortresses, loaded with napalm and mines, virtually shut down the Japanese economy in six months without destroying his bomber fleet, and we are not so sure quite how to assess his mad predications. By March 11 over Japan, “the bombers always get through” was as true as it was over Germany by early 1945 — and as false as it had been in 1942.

In short, Mosier offers historians valuable reminders not to become wedded to myths that a particular theory of attack ipso facto marks watershed breakthroughs in military art and practice. But to press his claims, he sometimes must employ the same sort of inflexibility in thinking that he rightly exposes in his critics, failing to appreciate the natural evolution of a theory as both technology and practical experience prove hardly static.

Strategists eventually did fathom the advantages of new ways of making war, and by trial and error worked hard to find the proper conditions and landscapes to use strategic bombing and Blitzkrieg to their full potentials. That the Allies did so far better than the Germans explains in part why they won the war.

Posted By: Timbo

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 04:48 PM

That fake boom of the 90's is happening all over again, with most of our fake "strong economy" now running on refinaced interest only loans. I just saw Greenspan on CNN and he agrees with me, but maybe you know more about economics than he does?

Today's real estate boom is the next internet bubble waiting to pop.

You want fries with that?
Posted By: H17cat

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 05:19 PM

Instead of complaining about a perceived down market report, that may not properly reflect our small boat and Catamaran market, we should take a positive approach. What is being done in your area to increase sailboat activity? As an example, in the Seattle area, our Sail Sand Point program is growing. See www.sailsandpoint.org. This year we added six new FJ's, six new Hunter 140's, and four new Optis. Efforts by our local sailors, including Peter Nelson, Laura Sullivan, and Jerry Valeske with their Hobie 101 and 102 programs have increased our Catamaran fleet sailing and racing activities. See http://www.ussailing.org/ODCC/Hobie&Sail_Sand_Point.htm

Caleb Tarleton
Sail Sand Point
US SAILING Multihull Council
Hobie Cat Assoc.,Div 4 and Fleet 95
Posted By: sail6000

Re: try 05 sales -- - 06/09/05 06:31 PM


05 US boat sales
NATIONAL MARINE MANUFACTURERS ASSOCIATION Newsletter!

JANUARY MSR: GOOD START FOR WHOLESALE BOAT SALES IN 2005...Unit Sales increase three percent; dollar sales up 11 percent

CHICAGO, May 18, 2005 - Wholesale dollar sales of all boats were up 11.1 percent in January, 2005 compared to the same month the previous year, while unit boat shipments rose 2.7 percent, based on the January Monthly Shipment Report (MSR) released today by the National Marine Manufacturers Association (NMMA). Dollar sales for the traditional powerboat segments (outboard, sterndrive, and inboard boats) were up 10.4 percent, and unit shipments increased 3.1 percent.

“This continues a great run for traditional boat shipments, which have recorded dollar increases for the past 24 months, when compared year-to-year,” says NMMA director of Industry Statistics & Research Jim Petru. “With the exception of December 2004, unit shipments have also increased 19 out of the last 20 months. This is an encouraging start to 2005.”


Timbo -try reading different sources of info to verify your opinions ----first
I think a healthy 2 party system is important and take cause to some political bills wether authored by a D or R behind the name ,--honest exchange of ideas and concepts or inteligent debate on facts and merit are essential to democracy -
On a VDH article trend --and do read other numerous sources ,--but few I enjoy as much as Hanson --
--May 6, 2005
Democratic Suicide
When will the Dems start winning again? When they start living and speaking like normal folks.
by Victor Davis Hanson

We are in unsure times amid a controversial war. Yet the American people are not swayed by the universities, the major networks, the New York Times, Hollywood, the major foundations, and NPR. All these bastions of doctrinaire liberal thinking have done their best to convince America that George W. Bush, captive to right-wing nuts and Christian fanatics, is leading the country into an abyss. In fact, a close look at a map of red/blue counties nationwide suggests that the Democrats are in deepening trouble.

Why? In a word, Democratic ideology and rhetoric have not evolved from the 1960s, although the vast majority of Americans has — and an astute Republican leadership knows it.

CLASS

The old class warfare was effective for two reasons: Americans did not have unemployment insurance, disability protection, minimum wages, social security, or health coverage. Much less were they awash in cheap material goods from China that offer the less well off the semblance of consumer parity with those far wealthier. Second, the advocates of such rights looked authentic, like they came off the docks, the union hall, the farm, or the shop, primed to battle those in pin-stripes and coiffed hair.

Today entitlement is far more complicated. Poverty is not so much absolute as relative: "I have a nice Kia, but he has a Mercedes," or "I have a student loan to go to Stanislaus State, but her parents sent her to Yale." Unfortunately for the Democrats, Kias and going to Stanislaus State aren't too bad, especially compared to the alternatives in the 1950s.

A Ted Kennedy, John Kerry, John Edwards, Howard Dean, George Soros, or Al Gore looks — no, acts — like he either came out of a hairstylist's salon or got off a Gulfstream. Those who show up at a Moveon.org rally and belong to ANSWER don't seem to have spent much time in Bakersfield or Logan, but lots in Seattle and Westwood. When most Americans have the semblance of wealth — televisions, cell phones, cars, laptops, and iPods as well as benefits on the job — it is hard to keep saying that "children are starving." Obesity not emaciation is the great plague of the poorer.

So the Democrats need a little more humility, a notion that the country is not so much an us/them dichotomy, but rather all of us together under siege to maintain our privileges in a tough global world — and at least one spokesman who either didn't go to prep school or isn't a lawyer.

RACE

The Democrats, at least in the north, were right on the great civil-rights debate of 1960s. Yet ever since, they have lost credibility as they turned to the harder task of trying to legislate an equality of result — something that transcends government prejudice and guarantying a fair playing field, and hinges on contemporary culture, behavior, values, and discipline.

The country is also no longer white and black, but brown, yellow, black, white, and mixed. When a liberal UC Berkeley chancellor remonstrates about "diversity" and "multiculturalism," lamenting that his merit-based entrance requirements have sadly resulted in too few "Hispanics" and "African-Americans" (he ignores that whites at Berkeley also enroll in numbers less than their percentages in the state population), what he really means — but won't say — is that there are apparently too many Asians, about 45 percent enrolled in Berkeley versus about 12 percent in the state population.

What will he do? Praise a hard-working minority that overcame historic prejudice against them? Hardly. We suspect instead the typical liberal solution is on the horizon: some clever, but secretive administrative fix that contravenes Proposition 209, and then denies that compensatory action is aimed against the Asians it is aimed at.

In short, race-based thinking beyond protection of equal opportunity is fraught with public suspicion, especially when so many loud spokesmen for minorities — Jesse Jackson or Kweisi Mfume — either are elites themselves or do not practice the morality they preach. An Alberto Gonzales or Condoleezza Rice comes across as proud, competent, and an expert rather than a tribalist, while those in the Black Caucus or La Raza industry appear often the opposite. Would you want a sober Colin Powell or an often unhinged Harry Belafonte and surly Julian Bond in your party? Did Condoleezza Rice, answering acerbic senators without notes, or Barbara Boxer, droning off a prepared script, appear the more impressive in recent confirmation hearings? A Democratic "minority" appointment to a cabinet post at education or housing is one thing; a Republican belief that the best candidates for secretary of state, national security advisor, and attorney general are incidentally minorities is quite another.

AGE

The Democrats won on the Social Security issue years ago. Annual cost-of-living increases and vast expansions to the program helped to ensure that we no longer witness — as I did in rural California in the early 1960s — elderly with outhouses and without teeth and proper glasses. In fact, despite the rhetoric of Washington lobbying groups, those over 65 are now the most affluent and secure in our society, and are on the verge of appearing grasping rather than indigent. They bought homes before the great leap in prices; they went to college when it was cheap; and they often have generous pensions in addition to fat social security checks. So ossified rhetoric about the "aged" in the social security debate — increasingly now not so much the Greatest Generation of WWII and the Depression as the first cohort of the self-absorbed baby boomers — is self-defeating.

George Bush is appealing to a new group that really is threatened — the under-35's who cannot afford a house, have student loans, high car and health insurance, and are concerned that their poor therapeutic education will leave them impoverished as China and the rest of Asia race ahead.

DEFENSE

The problem with Democrats is that Americans are not convinced that they will ever act in any consistent manner. We can argue about Afghanistan, but if one were to go back and read accounts in October 2001 about hitting back, the news reflected liberals' doubt about both the wisdom and efficacy of taking out the Taliban.

Would Al Gore have invaded Afghanistan less than a month after 9/11? If John Kerry were President and China invaded Taiwan, what would he do?

What would an administration advised by Madeline Albright, Barbara Boxer, Joe Biden, Jamie Rubin, Nancy Pelosi, or Jimmy Carter do if Iran sent a nuke into Israel, or North Korea fired a series of missiles over the top of Japan?

Or, if al Qaeda, operating from a sanctuary in Iran or Syria, took out the Sears Tower, how would a Kennedy, Kerry, or Gore respond? Six cruise missiles? A police matter? Proper work for the DA? Better "intelligence"? Let's work with our allies? Get the U.N. involved?

Whatever we think of George Bush, we know he would do something real — and just what that something might be frightens into hesitation — and yes, fear — many of those who would otherwise like to try something pretty awful.

WILL THEY EVER LEARN?

Until Democrats promote someone who barks out something like, "We can and will win in Iraq," or, "Let the word go out: An attack on the United States originating from a rogue state is synonymous with its own destruction," or some such unguarded and perhaps slightly over-the-top statement, I don't think that the American people will entrust their safety to the party. John Kerry, to be frank, is no Harry Truman, and time is running out for Hillary Clinton to morph into Scoop Jackson.

Philosophically, two grand themes explain the Democratic dilemma. One, the United States does not suffer from the sort of oppression, poverty, or Vietnam nightmares of the 1950s and 1960s that created the present Democratic ideology. Thus calcified solutions of big government entitlements, race-based largess, and knee-jerk suspicion of U.S. power abroad come off as either impractical or hysterical.

Second, there is the widening gulf between word and deed — and Americans hate hypocrites most of all. When you meet a guy from the Chamber of Commerce or insurance association, you pretty much know that what you see is what you get: comfort with American culture and values, an upscale lifestyle that reflects his ideology and work, and no apologies for success or excuses for lack of same.

But if you listen to Dr. Dean and his class venom, it hardly seems comparable with how he lives or how he was brought up. John Kerry's super power boat, Teresa Kerry's numerous mansions, Arianna Huffington's gated estate, George Soros's jet, Ted Turner's ranches, Sean Penn's digs — all this and more, whether fairly or unfairly, suggest hypocrisy and insincerity: Something like, "High taxes, government regulation, racial quotas, and more entitlements won't hurt me since I have so much money at my own disposal anyway, but will at least make me feel good that we are transferring capital to the less fortunate."

Worse yet, such easy largess and the cost of caring often translate into contempt for the small businessman, entrepreneur, and salesperson who is supposedly illiberal because he worries that he has less disposable income and is less secure. And when you add in cracks about Wal-Mart, McDonald's, and the "Christian Right" — all the things the more cultured avoid — then the architects of a supposedly populist party seem to be ignorant of their own constituencies.

When will Democrats return to power? Three of the most influential legislators in the Democrat party — Diane Feinstein, Barbara Boxer, and Nancy Pelosi — reside in and came out of the San Francisco Bay area, which for all its undeniable beauty has created a culture still at odds with most of America. John and Teresa Kerry would have been the nation's first billionaire presidential couple. The head of the Democratic party is a New England condescending liberal, with a vicious tongue, who ran and lost on a platform far to the left of an unsuccessful liberal.

In contrast the only two men elected president from the Democratic party in 30 years were southerners, hammed up their rural and common-man roots — the son of a single mother in Arkansas and a peanut farmer in Plains, Georgia — and were narrowly elected largely due to national scandals like Watergate or third-party conservative populists like Ross Perot. The aristocratic media — CBS News, the New York Times, NPR — is often liberal and yet talks of its degrees and pedigree; the firebrand populist bloggers, cable news pros, and talk-radio pundits are mostly conservative and survive on proven merit rather than image.

When we see Democrats speaking and living like normal folks — expressing worry that the United States must return to basic education and values to ensure its shaky preeminence in a cutthroat world, talking of one multiracial society united by a rare exceptional culture of the West rather than a salad bowl of competing races and tribes, and apprising the world that we are principled abroad in our support of democratic nations and quite dangerous when attacked — they will be competitive again.

Since they will not do that, they will keep losing — no matter how much the economy worries, the war frightens, and the elite media scares the American people.


Posted By: Timbo

Re: try 05 sales -- - 06/09/05 06:48 PM

Carl, I started by mentioning the layoff of 25,000 employees from GM, that's straight from the CEO's mouth. Do you think I need another source or do you think that will be good for our economy or new boat sales??

I'm not going to get into a politcal debate, what's the point? You are never going to change your beliefs and neither am I so you can spare us all the print.

BTW, I'm not a Democrat, I never voted for Clinton or Bush. I'm one of those wack-O's stuck in the middle of a extremeist, two party system.






Posted By: Inter_Michael

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 06:59 PM

I love it when people cry out against outsourcing. You notice that Kerry never made a speech about that in front of a Honda plant in AK, or a BMW plant in New York.

In fact, many "non US" c's are located on good ol US soil. In fact..please, anyone, tell me what a US car is? A gm product made in canada, assembled in Mexico? Good God,

To blame the current admin. is just nonsense. Maybe one should take ECON 101 to learn basic principls of a free market economy before one reacts to such...well..you get it...

Forget the bush bashing....and learn how to be the first to the A mark.....

Isnt that what this forum is about?

Michael
Posted By: davidn

Re: try 05 sales -- - 06/09/05 07:19 PM

A thought regarding statist regimes (which include in varying degrees socialism, communism, facism).

"Of all tyrannies, a tyranny exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It may be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end, for they do so with the approval of their own conscience."
—C. S. Lewis

Sailing is a good antidote for totalitarianism. Take someone sailing for fun instead of just racing and we may begin to grow our sport.

David
Hobie 20
Posted By: Steven Bellavia

Re: try 05 sales -- - 06/09/05 08:28 PM

Hi,
I think the biggest reason new sailboat sales are down is because there are too many people sitting and typing on their computers, arguing politics instead of sailing...

Steve
Hobie FX-1
Sail #211
Posted By: sail6000

Re: try 05 - 06/09/05 08:29 PM

Funny --you state you are not going to get into a political debate after stating --quote --{{blame everyone who voted for Bush }},--which is the majority of people that cared to vote .--pretty inadvertantly humorous stuff -timbo
Not reading materials --evan those supplied that may take only a few minutes -- may be one source of problem that leads to what seems to be a self defeating perspective you wish to currently embrace ,--sincerely mean that to be helpfull .--I know --I was one who cared little and did not ,-the typical dumb American who cares little of world affairs .
As to GM s ongoing trend to robotics ---replacing assembley line workers with them and the ongoing international or global market strategies occuring for decades now --http://www.gm.com/
Are you aware that GM owns-partners with Suzuki for example --and that all major car mfg have a global marketing strategy ,--The MFG centers for cars will be located on several general global geographic locations on each continent for car mfg is the base strategy , Most GM employees and execs that they are grooming for plant managerial positions are often sent overseas to train in other countries for this reason .-
Just designed a home for a nice couple that GM sent to Sweden the last two years,-very interesting and they returned with great ideas and concepts as to not only cars but home design and space utilization .
Honda builds in Tenn.and has several plants in the USA as do most former import only car mfg now -Honda has another Canadian plant just across the river ,-I have a civic for my son ,--built in Canada .I drive a Ford and have a GM van for my wife --Have a GM car for my daughter ,--and am customizing another Civic for another son .
Headers -electronic ignition -body kit -etc --great fun .
I live in Michigan between Detroit and Flint .-I,ve read that the Mich GM employees will be relocated and trained in other GM jobs .
Also what has occured in the last decade or so is a return to more customized features in cars that smaller machine shops and stamping plants can produce at less cost than GM ,-SO MORE WORK IS GOING THERE -to smaller specalization shops and custom machine and parts shops.
The rebound in the econony is in full swing --but more so in neighboring midwest states and booming in some other geographic areas . Many attribute this to the current MICH govenors policies and higher taxes enacted that make it less likely to see plant expansion or new ones built here ,and instead going to neighboring states .
Some call this voting with your feet .
The GM layoffs will occur over 3 years to 2008-training and benifits are available just as per previous years -

You noted tech jobs going to India --tHE STANDARD OF LIVING in the US is much higher than the rest of the world generally ,-some equaization will occur ,-the question is do we assist in bring theirs up to ours ,there by helping insure a peacefull free world human population ,-or do we repeat isolationist policies of the past that helped lead to two world wars the last century .
The example of Idia you noted which was on the edge of war with Pakistan over historic disputed Kashmir territory --both having nuclear weapons -http://www.cnn.com/WORLD/9708/India97/
as example --US and international intervention helped avoid escaled conflict ,-but the real reasons may be that most of Indias younger people are being employed and enacting with all aspects of US CULTURE ,THIS ALONG WITH MORE TO SPEND AND HIGHER STANDARDS OF LIVING bring a commonality and association .--When Asked about war with Pakistan most reply they have not the time to worry about such things ,-they are too busy with work and moving into nicer homes for their families .

You may ask what a war between two nuclear nations might bring as to cost in human lives and rest of the world .

There are many self defeating people and strategies --many of whom wish things to remain stagnant or evan wish to live as though in the 8th century as per failing theocracies in the mideast and intolerant zealotry that includes ,--hating any different.
Hope you are not just another---it is sometimes much easier in life to transpose blame to others than accept that the problems lie within and recognize our human inherant wants needs faults and failings to comprehend.
Please read -
good luck to you timbo





Posted By: sail6000

Re: try 05 - 06/09/05 08:33 PM

funny --
I was out sailing on the SC 15 with my youngest son all last evening and hope to be again this one -

note --mine are only responce .

have fun --smooth sailing
Carl
Posted By: Timbo

Re: try 05 - 06/09/05 08:43 PM

Hey Carl, to spare the rest I will concede to you everything, you are so right, it cannot be debated further. You are right, I was wrong, and I will from now on only vote for Bush, because he is so righteous... Now, spare us from further mega postings please.

BTW, does GM give those 25,000 furlouged people a new boat? If they are all going to be "retrained" why are they calling it a Furlough?

Re. jobs to India, I think we've been doing that for years, to Mexico, but I don't see their standard of living coming up to ours. You really believe that's what is going to happen, or are we eventually going to get down to their level?

How many of those guys you have up there on the roof, swinging hammers, speak english? What are you paying them? Any health benefits included or do I have to wait behind them in the emergency room?


Steve has it right, too much time being wasted on computers, not enough time spent sailing!

I won't make that mistake agian!
Posted By: jpayers

The Reason is simple !!!!!! - 06/09/05 09:12 PM

Alright Economics majors this is my opinion:

The decline in sailing has NOTHING to do with the prices of boats. The decline in sailing has NOTHING to do with company marketing procedures.

The reason sailing is failing as a sport in the United States is due to the lack of free time Americans have to invest in a time gulping sport!!!!!!!!!!

In a land of $50,000 SUVs,$500,000 average homes, double income families, and a birthrate that will make WASPs a minority in two generations. There is plenty of money. The problem is most if Americans will not even use there 10 days vacation a year would they spend a whole weekend gearing up, driving a hour, spending a hour setting up a boat, and then sitting on a lake that has no wind. No.Would Americans spend time on a sport that one out of three times it wouldn't be worth it to rig the boat. The answer is no. I have met many people at the lake to demo a new boat. They have the money and sailing has an incredable eye appeal but if the wind is less than 5 knots forget even rigging. If they get on the boat and it takes more than an hour to make it across the lake and back they get bored. How many times have we picked up a five year old boat at 30% of it's original new value when it has been used less than ten times and has sat for four years.

I also believe this is a pressing factor in high speed motor boating. Reading some of the adds for Fountain boats the marketing factors of how fast they go are underwritted by the bragging rights of how they can make to the Gulf Stream in less than an hour, reach a restaurant 20 miles away in 30 minutes, everthing is related to time savings and guaranteed speed fixes. Has anyone visited a Marina recently unless it is a Sailing Club chances are motor yachts outnumber Sailboats. The reason time.

On this subject I am actualy curious what Wouter's point of view (not on Americans)but how valuable is free time in Europe and how it relates to catsailing.

Flame away I can take it I am an Isotope skipper to ugly and mean to have a crew.

J.P.Ayers
Isotope 186
Posted By: sail6000

Re: try - 06/09/05 09:13 PM


relax timbo -take a breath --

All have workmens comp insurance ,--for roofers it is huge 20% -it is a high risk occupation -BUT LAW REQUIRES w c to be on a job site unless its your own home -I have roofed homes ,grew up in building and worked const. when younger --I just design now .
been off roofs 3 times ,-mainly ice and frost unseen early morning going from a sunny side to unwarmed side .
I bounce well --just bruised ribs etc ,.
-being self employed I have blue cross as do most for themselves and their employees who are often small family owned biz .
Here in MI illegal immigration is not a problem ,-all speak English with some exceptions .-The framing crew that will frame the basic structure is a family biz -they are from Romainia -legal immigration and US citizens --they are great ,-well paid -have insurance -and very pleased to be part of the USA .

Interesting that you note immigration --
Hanson wrote Mexifornia ,-having grown up in rural Calif where he was one of few students not of Mexican origin in SMALL RURAL school - You may wish to read it
Mexifornia: A State of Becoming
"Massive illegal immigration from Mexico into California," Victor Davis Hanson writes, "coupled with a loss of confidence in the old melting pot model of transforming newcomers into Americans, is changing the very nature of state. Yet we Californians have been inadequate in meeting this challenge, both failing to control our borders with Mexico and to integrate the new alien population into our mainstream."

Noted for his military histories and especially his social commentary of post-9/11 American life, Hanson is a fifth-generation Californian who teaches college classics courses and runs a family farm. Mexifornia is part history, part political analysis, and part memoir. It is an intensely personal book about what has changed in the California over the last quarter century, and how the real losers in the chaos caused by hemorrhaging borders are the Mexican immigrants themselves.

A large part of the problem, Hanson believes, comes from the opportunistic coalition that stymies immigration reform and, even worse, stifles an honest discussion of the growing problem. Corporations, contractors, and agribusiness demand cheap wage labor from Mexico, whatever the social consequences. Meanwhile, academics, journalists, government bureaucrats, and La Raza advocates envision illegal aliens as a vast new political constituency for those committed to the notion that victimhood, not citizenship, is the key to advancement.

Mexifornia is an indictment of the policies that got California into its present mess. But this beautifully written book also reflects Hanson's strong belief that our traditions of assimilation, integration, and intermarriage may yet remedy a problem that the politicians and ideologues have allowed to get out of hand.

Victor Davis Hanson, a classicist at California State University, Fresno, is author most recently of Carnage and Culture: Landmark Battles in the Rise of Western Power and An Autumn of War: What America Learned from September 11 and the War on Terror.
Posted By: Jimbo

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 09:18 PM

Remember that 25,000 layoffs will occur over a period of time concurrent with the normal attrition of, you guessed it- 25,000 present employees.

So basically GM won't be doing any hiring for a few years. But the misfortunes of GM (and to a lesser extent Ford) are not at all related to a 'soft' economy but to management misdirection of company resources going back to the early 90's. Remember that by the late 90's, the big three had all posted record profits and had chipped away significantly at import market share. But they chose to take an easy route to profit building and promoting high-profit (overpriced), truck-based platforms instead of putting those profits into R & D for the much trickier auto market. They made a lot of money in a short time and kept share prices up and paid out dividends. That is American style corporate strategy-for better and for worse. The Asian corporations take a much longer view. (Matsushita electric has a 100 year corporate strategy!)

I think there's a far simpler explanation for slumping sailboat sales: people don't want sailboats. They want powerboats, PWC's, dirt bikes, ATV's and the like. And why wouldn't they? When have you ever seen a slick TV ad for a sailing catamaran? When have you ever seen a slick magazine ad for same in a general interest periodical? I never have. To an extent this is reflective of pop culture, where only stodgy old farts would ever get on a sailboat! All the young, cool, sexy people have engines on their boats-BIG ones! Sailboats are for live-aboard misfits/recluses and big, fat cigar smoking crime bosses! And of course sailboats are slow and boring as hell-EVERYBODY knows that!

Part of this is the industry's 'fault'. They have not advertised their product to the extent that it could have been so that the above situation of ignorance WRT sailcraft exists. Part of it is our fault as owners, but then we did not know the job of promoting the sport had fallen to us. After all, most of us SPEND rather that MAKE money at this.
No matter whose 'fault' it is, we can all do a good turn for the sport by taking a newbie sailing. I know it's a cliche by now but it's still works!. That's how I got into sailing-a friend took me out on his H16. And I have yet to take a newbie on a cat who did not come away saying something like "Wow, that was absolutely the funnest thing I have ever done! When can we go again?" I know it can be a bit of a pain since it is so much more responsibility and explaining and trying to keep them on the correct side of the boat (and you can forget about race practice!) but in the end the sport needs it.

Step Up!

Jimbo

Posted By: Keith

Re: World out of proper orbit - - 06/09/05 09:34 PM

All the political crapola aside (and most of it is just that), here are my top reasons for the downturn in sailboat sales, and I'll start with my guess at why jetski sales are down a bit.

Jetskis - in many places these craft are being banned from the waterways, including parks and the like. So if a family was looking at buying one or two to drag to Lake WakaWaka State Park behind the Winni, they may not make that purchase after skis are banned from Lake WakaWaka.

Sailboats - while general water access is a problem, the fact that powerboat sales are up indicate people can get to the water. I think the main reasons are 1) fuel is affordable enough to powerboat 2) for general use a powerboat offers more options and bang for the buck (fuel costs not included) 3) it takes specialized skills to sail.

#1 is a no brainer - fuel is still cheap enough that for most cases power boating is not going to break the bank. If this were not the case power boat sales would drop.

#2 sounds like heresy on a sailing site - I consider myself to be a "non-denominational boater" which means what's most important to me is be on water first and worry about the mode last. I prefer to sail, but I appreciate power boats. I believe that for the usual family who just wants to get out on the water, power is probably the best option to get the whole family interested. You can ski, you can fish, you can get to a destination and back (be it your favorite crab shack in some river or a favorite place to anchor) in a reasonable amount of time. Most sailboats being monohulls, you'll not be able to much besides launch, sail around for a bit and go home. Unless you're able to sell the rest of the family on it, they're going to be bored silly. On the Chesapeake, you won't make it to anyplace you want to go unless it's an overnight or extended day trip. Where I live, a good evening activity is hop in a boat, head to Magothy Seafood for Nutty Buddy with the kids. Easy on a powerboat, not so on many sailing vessels. When people purchase boats, the activities they plan to use them come into play. For me, the answer to this is easy - have both a power boat and sail boat! But most people are silly and limit themselves to one boat... My wife grew up a powerboater, and if it weren't for multihull speed I'd have to go more power - leaning around at 6 knots max is not her idea of fun! Riding on the trap or wing nets is. Now, I know that you can do all these things on sailboats too (only if the conditions are right!), but we have to admit it will happen easier on the powerboat.

#3 is both a plus and a minus - I have to admit part of the reason I like to sail is that it DOES take special skills. You get a reward for learning things - it feels good when you get it right. But for a lot of people, getting on the water is daunting enough without having to learn how to sail. Where do you learn to sail? Most places it costs money to get in some kind of classes. Once you take those classes it might take years before you are completely confident. In the mean time, is the boat going to offer the same enjoyment, or is it going to scare your family because nobody is confident? But for those who get bitten by the sailing bug, just the feel of the boat under sail is addictive - I can't imagine living without that. That feeling is generally more important than the destination, but not everybody appreciates that.

Anyway, those are my main reasons to explain the downturn in sailboat sales. Now for catamarans themselves: I think the main problem for cat sailing is the almost complete devotion to racing that is going on.

Take a look at the boats that are available new. Which of those boats fit the mode of a fun and durable daysailer that can also be raced? Hobie-16 is about it. The boats that we all gush over are race machines, and are expensive and scary to newbies. Yes there are roto-molded fun thingies, but if you want real boat... Remember the video of the Hobie-18 blasting through the surf? Lots of things in that video attest to just bombing around on a boat. Skiing on a daggerboard, driving up the beach. The boats used to be more about fun and then racing, instead of just about racing. And when a new boat costs $15k, is mostly for racing, scares the family, can't be used to get Nutty Buddies or go fishing, well, the results are predictable. Mostly only the hardcore racers will have them.

When I had my Hobie-18 before I started racing, my wife and I enjoyed blast-reaching back and forth accross the Bay trapping from the wings. When the wind died, just lazing around on the wings was fun. That 18 turned out to be a pretty good open class race boat as well. Dual purpose.

Looking back on the blathering I've offered up, I'll add that jetski sales are also falling for some of the sailboat reasons - they are not as universally useful as a regular powerboat.
Posted By: mmiller

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 09:51 PM

Hobie Cat Sales / Sails are up...

I don't know what the rest of the industry is doing about making new sales and creating new sailors, but we are now in our 8th straight year of growth in Hobie Cat domestic sailboat sails. I won't even mention the huge growth in kayak sales we are experiencing.

I also will say that sales out of our Australia facility are going through the roof!

Cat sailing on the decline? Not for us.

Posted By: Wouter

Re: US Sail boats - 06/09/05 09:52 PM



Now I'm known to be able to create and read lengthy posts but Carl, I ain't got nothing on you. As for the author of that rant he is of the kind that would intepret a workers revolt in the USA as a sign that the people are routing their employers because they're not outsourcing the workers jobs quickly enough (free market). Main point; the guy is in the total dark why the French and Dutch voted "No". He is a faith based thinker (=wishful thinker), we all know how they think about old-fashioned thing called "reality".

Wouter



Posted By: Keith

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 09:57 PM

Quote
Hobie Cat Sales / Sails are up...

I don't know what the rest of the industry is doing about making new sales and creating new sailors, but we are now in our 8th straight year of growth in Hobie Cat domestic sailboat sails.


Great to hear it!
Posted By: Rolf_Nilsen

Re: World out of proper orbit - - 06/09/05 10:11 PM

Regarding the time squeeze. I feel that we europeans have the same issues, valueing our free time dearly. Lots of people thinks catsailing looks very interesting and fun, but they dont want to spend time or money on it.
Here in Norway we have 25 days vacation, and most work 8 hour days, 37-39 hours a week (ie. most have weekends off).
Our sailing club have about 250 members, thats about the same number as there are non-member sailboats in the nearby harbour. Most of those boats seldom leave their moorings, and when they do they usually motor to the nearest bathing place (Dang! Whats "svaberg" in english).
At our club, there are about 8-12 boats racing regularly. Out of those, there are three boats that win the majority of the races. Those are the same boats that care enough to spend time on the water.

When people are asked why they dont sail more, start at regattas, attend work-days or barbecues at the club etc., they usually say they dont have the time.
This is probably somewhat true, as the children usually have three or four activities where parents must attend. And then the parents also have two or three other interests as well, where they spend time. What it usually boils down to, is that they dont put a high enough priority on sailing..
I dont know why it is this way. Perhaps it takes a special kind of mentality, or good experiences to truly enjoy this sport. Perhaps the general population have become numbed by TV and commercialization (probably not spelled right, to tired to check the dictionary) to realise that they can get out there and do things on their own?


We go sailing two to four times a week, becouse it's great fun to make the boat go fast as a team, and to work with ourself to see how fast/good we can become. It have other rewards as well, but you guys probably know what I mean.
Posted By: arbo06

Re: US Sail boats - 06/09/05 10:24 PM

Sales could be down because of 60 hour work weeks, and the fact that both parents work just to make ends meet. Many times that means taht one parent must work on the weekends leaving the other to stay home and care for the kids. This is my situation. Prior to my wife working (real estate) I had most weekends available, no more. My boat sits a fair amount.
Posted By: Wouter

Re: The Reason is simple !!!!!! - 06/09/05 10:51 PM


Quote

On this subject I am actualy curious what Wouter's point of view (not on Americans)but how valuable is free time in Europe and how it relates to catsailing.



Lets face it, Europeans have free time. Many work 60 hours a week and never take up hollidays but enjoy working and the status that comes with high flying job. But working so many hours is never a requirement overhere. Doing 40 or 35 hours a week is enough to support you lifestyle if you settle for a normal suburban lifestay with an economic Japanse car. Typically (by law) each working person has at minimum 25 days a year that he can take up a free time. Many have a little more between 30 and 40 days. Distances are short as well but I think something else is an important influence as well.

Culture

Sailing overhere is is also a social thing. You are a member of a sportclub. Many clubs has their own club houses, often with showers and such. Quite a few sailors some in for a chat just easily as for some sailing. But sailing is regarded as more refined than motor boating here. Men with alot of golden chains around their necks buy motorboats, but men with stature by sail boats. Sail boats nearly always regarded as the superior one in status to a motorboat. You really have to have a MF big and expensive motorboat before you win out over a guy with a 30 ft (sail) racer. I think Americans as a people are less guided by tradition and culture (derived from old notions of nobility) in this sense. Americans tend to be more of tinkers and like to get their hand greazy on machines and engines. Their national character seems to be more geared to survivor like challenges and contests. Often with alot of "oooomf" or "vroooom". In Europe you can't win yourself much appreciation with that. Overhere the way you perform a feat or handle a challenge seems to be important as well. If you sat out a drifter for many many hours and came out ahead makes your performance more respectable; simply because of the way it shows character. There is a reason why the french are driving forces behind circumnagivation attempts and races. Why so many singlehanded sailors are European. Doing a stunt like that and showing character will propel your status to the highest level. You can take your time, you can choose to fight another day there is no shame in that, actually these things can well enhance your standing. When the conditions get nuclear, Americans are regarded as people who drop a few curses and get into the thick of the fight. Europeans are regarded (expected) to take a step back and look at the situation and find an elegant solution to it. In oversimplified terms : Americans are boxers, Europeans are fencers.

So why all this culture babble. Well because sail boats suit the European psyche better and for Americans the believe is the other way around. Sailboats are the floret (fencing) of the watersports, while speedboats and powerboats are like grunt and masculinity of a boxer.

So yes, free time plays a big role, But so too does local organising (in sail clubs where sailors socialize) and European culture/tradition.

We must not forget that while Europeans and Americans do regard themself part of the western civilisation and can communicate with eachother and understand eachother very well, that there are still big differences in how both people look at things. Actually the differences are quite big and often run deep as well.

Of course tradition, local organisation and social-democractic governance systems have garanteed water access in most European places. For example. All of the Dutch coast line is owned by the state. And she will grant access to anybody who adheres to universal guidelines of proper usage and safety. Big Hotels may purchase property behind the first dune but they may not buy the beaches and first dunes. As a matter of fact, You can walk from the south to the north along the coastline and not trespass on private property. Money is not always King here and common good and societal needs are taken into consideration. both at the present and for may be in the future.

Such things do tend to make sailing more accessible and does make it easier to maintain a sport (life style) like sailing.

Wouter



Posted By: jbecker

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/09/05 10:56 PM

Okay, here's another theory that I just made up: kids. Young adults seem to be totally devoted to their kids these days, spending much of evening and weekend hauling them to this that and the other practice or sporting activity. And there are a lot of different activities people are into these days, and many of them have high time demands, are highly competitive, and are often fairly expensive when you add up the gear costs and activity fees.

I'm also into martial arts, and the real money in martial arts is ... kids. Most (not all, but most) adults get into it only after hauling their kids to practice and watching for a matter of months. I don't know if a similar path exists for drawing in adults via youth sailing programs since I don't have any experience with them.
Posted By: Mark Schneider

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/10/05 12:03 AM

Racing Clubs and the health of catamaran sailing.

Keith raised the issue that the focus on racing limits the appeal of catamaran sailing.

I just wanted to make a couple of points. Historically yacht clubs have defined their central mission as one of sponsoring racing and the social scene defined by the restaruant and bar were secondary. Gary Jobson has recently chastised many clubs for undercutting their core mission and simply managing a restaruant with a great water view.

I don't know of any catamaran clubs that are open to the public and purely social. If they exist... please let me know how this works. I personaly have no interst in joining a social catamaran club.

Personally, I will not waste ANY of my time in organizing a social event for the public. There is no juice in this one for me ... I certainly organize a social sailing party for my family and friends but this kind of activity does not require any coordination with club members.

On the Chesapeake, I belong to Podickery Point Yacht Club, the facilities are the best I have ever run across however there is no club.... It is actually a marina and the catsailors come and use their boats on their own schedule and without the need of any other catsailor on the premise. Recreational sailing does not require any organization or community or commitment to any other human being other then yourself. In contrast, The West River Catamaran Racing Association that Keith runs has nothing more then a lot with water access, a discrete tree and a well hidden port a pot for the ladies. They get 10 to 20 sailors who go racing on Tuesday's from April to November. Racing requires an organization, rules and commitments from sailors and so naturally clubs are essential to make this happen. Not so for the social scene.

I would be very interested in how Sandy Hook CC addresses the balance between racing, serving as a social club and serving as a marina for catamarans. I belive at last count they had over 200 boats with mast up storage on the water of Sandy Hook Bay.

Take Care
Mark










Posted By: steveh

Re: The Reason is simple !!!!!! - 06/10/05 01:31 AM

I think Wouter just called sailors a bunch of elitist, hippie, pinko, liberal socialists.

Not that there's anything wrong with that.
Posted By: Jake

Re: The Reason is simple !!!!!! - 06/10/05 01:38 AM

Ohhhh what I could do with 25 days vacation or more. As it is, I have been with the same company for almost 9 years and I get 15 days. I will get 20 days vacation after I've been there 15 years and that is the maximum. I will admit, however, that I used to work 50 and 60 hour work weeks but have been scaling it back to 40 or so - hasn't done my career a whole lot of good but I do get a little more time to spend with Bonnie and sail.
Posted By: Robi

Re: The Reason is simple !!!!!! - 06/10/05 02:04 AM

i get 30 days off guaranteed a year, work only one day of a weekend only twice a month, full medical coverage for me and my family (only a wife)

I love my job! Pay could be better, but I aint complaining!

Lets go sailing, just got back from sailing the blade for nine hours straight!
Posted By: Jake

Re: The Reason is simple !!!!!! - 06/10/05 02:19 AM

Quote
just got back from sailing the blade for nine hours straight!



Thank God you put that thing in the water...I was getting worried.
Posted By: Robi

Re: The Reason is simple !!!!!! - 06/10/05 02:22 AM

Its been in the water more than a couple of times Jake. I just never talk about it, nothing more nothing less.
Posted By: grob

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/10/05 06:49 AM

Quote
Hobie Cat Sales / Sails are up...

I don't know what the rest of the industry is doing about making new sales and creating new sailors, but we are now in our 8th straight year of growth in Hobie Cat domestic sailboat sails. -Matt


Quote
I think the main problem for cat sailing is the almost complete devotion to racing that is going on.
- kieth


Matt how do these two statements square up, what type of boats are selling well?

Hobie seem to be selling two distinct models, the racing boats (Tiger FX1 etc) and the leisure boats (Wave, Getaway etc).

I will hazard a guess that it is the leisure models that are selling well, This squares with your other statement that Kayak sales are up, you only sell leisure orientated (plastic) Kayaks.

Posted By: scooby_simon

Re: The Reason is simple !!!!!! - 06/10/05 09:43 AM

Work somewhere between 40 and 55 Hrs a week, cover 24/7 one week in 7 - Travel 3 hrs a day. Work some weekends and evenings from home when needed. Pay could be better, job could be better, but I work in Investment banking and it is expected to put the time and effort in.

Does pay for boats and cars mind....
Posted By: MauganN20

Re: The Reason is simple !!!!!! - 06/10/05 01:29 PM

40 Hrs/wk - 120 hours of PTO per year.

I get enough vacation I think, however I can't possible devote all of it to sailing. Take a day off here and there and its amazing how quickly it accumulates.

It always seems like the wind dies out on the weekends around here too.
Posted By: wyatt

Re: Hobie Sales up? - 06/10/05 02:19 PM

First of all, I'm impressed by the general knowledge of our group; we've got some pretty impressive readers of information here.

Second, to Matt's point on the sales: I'm the administrator for our Hobie Fleet and this year I've already got at least five requests from perspective members to find them a boat. I try to match them with good used boats whenever I can.

From my perspective, I agree with those members that think there is not enough free time. Double income earners are the norm, and this is a very time consuming sport. Plus, it is harder to find a beach to sail now; Our litigous environment has certainly started putting up roadblocks on anyone trying to have fun.

I see so many positives, though. Besides the interest in cat sailing in my area increasing, our recently formed (last year) J22 Fleet in Buffalo has just balooned to over 33 boats!

I see the glass half full, so I'll just top if off by adding ice.

America, what a wonderful country.

P.S. Timbo. I won't have my job replaced by someone for 10 cents an hour. I worked hard and committed to retiring at the age of 55; I'll never own a million dollar mansion on the waterfront, but I'm very happy doing the things I do; sailing, teaching skiing, working for my sailing fleet, and helping manage our little ski village.

Wyatt
Posted By: sail6000

EU utopia and realities- - 06/10/05 02:22 PM

Terrible irony ,-typical EU reads an article and refers to the author as a {wishfull thinker} ,--"HE IS not dealing with REALITY" -he declares --per post below ---the terrible irony is a rejected Euro mainland continent in decline ,the realities that involves ,and grave danger they are facing in the near future .
EU responce ,--is the typical anti-Americanisms and to promote the EU model 30 hour work week and themselves as {{noble fencers }} in a supposed utopian socialistic sailing heaven .


Some realities-- EU declining population--unasimilaed minority populations, largely muslim , failing socialistic systems ,--large unemployment rates ,-overburdened elitist burocracies and bloated impotent beaurocrates ,-its total inability to defend itself militarily ,-there is no real EURO Force OF ANY MILITARY CONSEQUENCE-,all this and much more in an age of rapid global change of historic proportion the EU can only respond with socialistic Pavlovian type reaction that could only emit from a protected people unaware of the TRADGIC realities that will soon become apparent if not already apparent to most .

For those concerned about the US -It is often said that the US system of democracy and basic human freedom based on individual rights is the worst possible ,--that is until it is realistically compared to any other . .-

here is todays article by VDH

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June 10, 2005, 7:47 a.m.
The Global Shift

Radical global power shifts have been common throughout history. For almost a millennium (800-100 BC) the Greek East, with its proximity to wealthy Asia and African markets and a dynamic Hellenism, was the nexus of Western civilization — before giving way to Rome and the western Mediterranean.


Yet by A.D. 300 the Greek-speaking half of the empire, more distant from northern European tribal attacks, proved the more resolute. It would endure for over 1,000 years while the fragmented West fell into chaos.

And then yet again the pendulum shifted back. The Renaissance was the product of Florence, Venice, and Rome as the Byzantine East was worn out by its elemental struggles with Islam and straitjacketed by an increasingly rigid Orthodoxy and top-heavy imperial regime.

But by 1600 the galley states of the Western Mediterranean were to lose their restored primacy for good, as to the north the ocean-going galleons of the Atlantic port nations — England, France, Holland, Portugal, and Spain — usurped commerce and monopolized the new trans-oceanic trade routes to Asia and the New World.

By the time of the industrial revolution, another radical shift had occurred in influence and power. The northern European states of England, France, and Germany, products of the Enlightenment, with sizable Protestant populations, outpaced both the old classical powers of the Mediterranean and the Spanish empire. And in early 20th century, the United States, benefiting from the Anglo tradition of transparency and the rule of law — combined with a unique constitution, exploding population, and vast resources — displaced the old European colonial empires and stood down the supposed new future of Soviet totalitarianism.

Globalization and technology, of course, can speed up these shifts and accomplish in a few years what used to transpire over centuries. We are told that a third of the planet, the two billion in China and India, is now moving at a breakneck pace with market reforms to remake the world. The old idea of a “population bomb” of too many people and too few resources has been turned upside down: The key is not how many people reside in a country but rather what those people do. A billion under a Marxist regime leads to terrible human waste and starvation; a billion in a market economy is actually advantageous — as seemingly endlessly active minds and arms flood the world with cheap consumer goods and rebuild a decaying infrastructure from the ground up.

Europe — high unemployment, layers of bureaucracy slow growth, unsustainable entitlements, ethnic and religious tensions, shrinking populations, unresponsive central governments — is often juxtaposed with Asia, as if its sun is setting just as the East’s is once again rising.

So far the European Union’s decision not to spend on defense; its inherited infrastructure and protocols; and its commitment to the rule of law keep the continent seemingly prosperous. It has some breathing space to decide whether it will reemerge as a rising power or be relegated to a curious museum for cash-laden tourists from Asia and America.

Somewhere between these poles is the United States. Pessimists point out that we increasingly don’t create the cars we drive, the phones we used, or mirabile dictu, soon the food we eat. High budget deficits, trade imbalances, enormous national debt, and growing military expenditures will supposedly take their toll at last, as pampered Americans consume what by the new global rules they don’t quite earn.

Optimists counter with their own set of statistics and point out that immigration and religion have ensured a steady if not rising population. Unemployment, interest rates, and inflation are low, and alone in the world America has an amazing resiliency and flexibility to fashion citizens and a single culture out of diverse races and religions. It also, of course, enjoys a unique constitution and laws that provide freedom without license.

We seem to enjoy the best of both worlds, symbolized by our two coasts that look on both east and west. Our European traditions ensure the rule of law and the vibrancy of Western civilization. Yet decades ago, unlike the EU, we understood the Asian challenge and kept our markets open and our economy free, often requiring great dislocation and painful adjustment. The result is that for all our bickering, we continue to remain competitive and flexible in a way Europe does not.

If we have avoided the state socialism of Europe that stymies growth, we have also already passed through all the contradictions of a breakneck capitalist transition — the dislocation of rural people, industrial pollution, unionization, suburban blues, ubiquitous graft, and petty bribery — that will increasingly plague both India and China as they leave the 18th century and enter the 21st.

But the real question is how both China and India, nuclear and arming, will translate their newfound economic clout and cash into a geopolitical role. If internal politics and protocols are any barometer of foreign policy, it should be an interesting show. We mostly welcome the new India — nuclear, law-abiding, and English-speaking — onto the world stage. It deserves a permanent seat on the Security Council and a close alliance with the United States.

China, however, is a very different story — a soon-to-be grasping Soviet Union-like superpower without any pretense of Marxist egalitarianism. Despite massive cash reserves and ongoing trade surpluses, it violates almost every international commercial protocol from copyright law to patents. It won’t discuss Tibet, and it uses staged domestic unrest to send warnings to Taiwan and Japan that their regional options will increasingly be limited by Beijing.

China could rein in Kim Jong Il tomorrow. But it derives psychological satisfaction from watching Pyongyang’s nuclear roguery stymie Japan and the United States. China’s foreign policy in the Middle East, Central and South America, and Southeast Asia is governed by realpolitik of the 19th-century American stripe, without much concern for the type of government or the very means necessary to supply its insatiable hunger for resources. The government that killed 50 million of its own has not really been repudiated and its present successor follows the same old practice of jailing dissidents and stamping out freedom. When and how its hyper-capitalist economy will mandate the end of a Communist directorate is not known.

The world has been recently flooded with media accounts that U.S. soldiers may have dropped or at least gotten wet a few Korans. Abu Ghraib, we are told, is like the Soviet gulag — the death camp of millions. Americans are routinely pilloried abroad because they liberated Iraq, poured billions into the reconstruction, and jumpstarted democracy there — but were unable to do so without force and the loss of civilian life.

This hysteria that the world’s hyper-power must be perfect or is it is no good is in dire contrast to the treatment given to China. Yet Pavlovian anti-Americanism may soon begin to die down as the Chinese increasingly flex their muscles on the global stage and the world learns better their methods of operation.

So far they have been given a pass on three grounds: the old Third World romance accorded to Mao’s Marxist legacy; the Chinese role as a counterweight to the envied power of the United States; and the silent admission that the Chinese, unlike the Americans, are a little crazy and thus unpredictable in their response to moral lecturing. Americans apologize and scurry about when an EU or U.N. official remonstrates; in contrast, a Chinese functionary is apt to talk about sending off a missile or two if they don’t shut up.

The Patriot Act to a European is proof of American illiberality in a way that China’s swallowing Tibet or jailing and executing dissidents is not. America’s support for Saudi Arabia is proof of our hypocrisy in not severing ties with an undemocratic government, while few care that a country with leaders who traverse the globe in Mao suits cuts any deal possible with fascists and autocrats for oil, iron ore, and food.

Yes, we are witnessing one of the great transfers of power and influence that have traditionally changed civilization itself, as money, influence, and military power are gradually inching away from Europe. And this time the shake-up is not regional but global. While scholars and economists concentrate on its economic and political dimensions, few have noticed how a new China and an increasingly vulnerable Europe will markedly change the image of the United States.

As nations come to know the Chinese, and as a ripe Europe increasingly cannot or will not defend itself, the old maligned United States will begin to look pretty good again. More important, America will not be the world’s easily caricatured sole power, but more likely the sole democratic superpower that factors in morality in addition to national interest in its treatment of others.

China is strong without morality; Europe is impotent in its ethical smugness. The buffer United States, in contrast, believes morality is not mere good intentions but the willingness and ability to translate easy idealism into hard and messy practice.

Most critics will find such sentiments laughable or naïve; but just watch China in the years to come. Those who now malign the imperfections of the United States may well in shock whimper back, asking for our friendship. Then the boutique practice of anti-Americanism among the global elite will come to an end.

— Victor Davis Hanson is a military historian and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. His website is victorhanson.com.
















Posted By: scooby_simon

Re: EU utopia and realities- - 06/10/05 02:42 PM

Have not got the time at the moment for a long reply, but I agree that mainland EU is in trouble as is the Euro.

However, it looks like the UK is doing OK. Yes we have some serious problems with out current Govt (I for one cannot believe that Blair actually pulled off a 3rd term) and their "Tax and waste" plans. The UK appears to be doing ok dispite the Blair administration !


Posted By: John Williams

Hey Wyatt... - 06/10/05 02:56 PM

Wyatt - if you find a place on the water for only a million, you'd better pass - it's a "fixer-upper." Real estate is insane right now. Realtors around here say prices have been going up 4-5% per month since the hurricane. No wonder people are working harder for less.

Good news about your fleet - keep it up!
Posted By: Keith

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/10/05 03:54 PM

I'll add a few more comments on the issue to address some other points.

When I was a kid, my brother and I played sports (Lacrosse, wrestling), but those were not the all time consuming efforts that kids sport have become these days. Even with games and practices there was plenty of Sunday afternoons with the whole family and a packed dinner on the family boat. Nowadays involvement in sports seems to take up more than that - if you're involved in the sports there are skills camps and tournaments and a whole lot more devoted to the idea that each kid is going to be a soccer star. I know of families that spend the whole weekend traveling from one game to another, and then even to games their kids aren't playing in so they watch other teams play and learn from observing. As a new parent I have to admit to worrying about how to balance all that - I think sports involvement is a great thing for kids to learn a lot of life skills through, but there seems to be a loss of balance these days. I want to have Sunday afternoons with the family on the boat and a packed dinner again...

Matt - I was thinking about your comment regarding the kayaks, and that sparked another thought. At the last couple of Annapolis Sailboat Shows, Hobie seems to be more of a kayak company than a sailboat company, even at the sailboat show. The kayaks are out front, the cats are few, and the sales staff seem to have a dismal understanding of the local catamaran scene. It's been very disappointing. However, I must admit I have no idea how many boats they sell from that show. I do know that nobody I know of has shown up to the local clubs saying they just bought a new Hobie and are looking for like minded individuals. But the real reason for me to bring this up for this discussion on boat sales is the realization that, for all the boats I have or have had, the ONLY ones I've bought new were kayaks.

Other folks comments about work hours - I can say that work hours affect my ability to get on the water. Weekends aren't off limits, and the week is rarely only 40 hours. I get 3 weeks of vacation a year, but frequently I lose one of those because I don't get to use it due to delivery deadlines and I can only carry one week over to the new year. I'm not the only one, and this isn't in pursuit of the ultimate corporate prestige job. It's simply doing what's required to get the regular job done, and seems to be becoming the work culture these days.

And water access again - water access is tight, but there are launch areas. But again for the power boat versus sailboat, trailering is much easier with a power boat. Once you get to a size with sailboats that ballast and keels become an issue, you're stuck with putting the boat in a slip. Slips that can handle keelboats with their depth or multis with their width are not cheap. I think this is another reason sailboat sales on the whole are losing to powerboats.
Posted By: mmiller

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/10/05 04:43 PM

I can tell you that we are selling recreational sailing and ALWAYS HAVE. Even when racing was BIG in the 80's, racing accounted for less than 10% of our sales. Entry level and recreational is where it is at. We knew, in the early 90s, that we needed to re-build the market place. That is where the Wave came in. Now the Getaway and Bravo AND Kayak sail rigs. We sell TONS of sail kits for our kayaks and that is bringing new blood into sailing too. Our sales are up... I think we made good choices as to what to concentrate on. Kayak sales are driving the company these days. That is where the big sales are. The MirageDrive has once again placed Hobie Cat on top of a market, or at least put us on the path.

By the way... we re-introduced the 17 due to pressure by Hobie 17 racers. So, who buys them now? Recreational sailors something like 4 to 1... they are mostly selling as Sports. (Ooops... not this year... SEs outselling Sports again!)
Posted By: David Ingram

Re: US Sail boat sales down - 06/10/05 04:57 PM

Quote
The MirageDrive has once again placed Hobie Cat on top of a market, or at least put us on the path.


Yeah, I'll have to admit the MirageDrive is pretty facking cool, I love it. And the fishing kayak you have... brilliant!

Posted By: Wouter

Re: EU utopia and realities- - 06/10/05 05:12 PM


When the Euro was valued at 80 % of the US$ it was said that it was in trouble

When the Euro was valued at 134 % of the US$ it was said that it was in trouble

Now that the Euro is valued at 122 % of the US$ it is again said that it is in trouble


At least you guys are consistant.

What ever is linked to the identifier "Euro" must be in trouble for that fact alone.

Well if that makes you guys happy then I think it is harmless enough.

Now Blair thinks that the mainland is now ready for some far stretching free market thinking and an economic model like the UK. If that makes him happy then I think it is harmless enough as well. In 7 months time he will know better.

There are alot of rumour around about the No votes, sadly none touch on the real reasons.

For the Dutch it was the trouble with the stability pact, the powerplay by the big nations (we don't want to loose our veto power) and the fact that we're paying millions of Euro's to EU (and UK in particular) and get nothing in return. (in UK case we get a thankless 5th colomnist). That and the fact that many are tired that our politicians are selling us down stream to lobby groups and big corporations. The people have different idea's about Europe than the policy makers have and this was one of the times when such a view could be expressed. In general, people care less about free markets and open borders than about the benefits of a social-democratic society. In france a few other points were involved as well; most having to do with market liberalisation and the cutting of state social programs.

Wouter
Posted By: Rolf_Nilsen

Re: EU utopia and realities- - 06/10/05 06:31 PM

Wouter: the resons you listed for the no vote to the EU constitution is about the same why Norway have stayed out of the EU (even if we also pay some billions as danegeld to the EU). Ditto on the politicians and the free market theories.
I dont understand why Carl saw a reason to rant on about the EU, in a thread about decline in boat sales in the U.S? Hurt feelings?

Also have to agree on the fact that europeans and people from the U.S can communicate, but that we do have a different set of opinions and values.

Kayaking has become really big up here as well, but I have yet to see a kayak with a sailrig.
Posted By: Keith

Re: EU utopia and realities- - 06/10/05 08:37 PM

Rolf,
Check out the link, pretty nice boat kits from these guys.

http://www.clcboats.com/boats/sailrig.php/cart_id=b2aece4e0ba65309d08d10c5e2d9bef7/
Posted By: scooby_simon

Re: EU utopia and realities- - 06/10/05 08:44 PM

Quote

For the Dutch it was the trouble with the stability pact, the powerplay by the big nations (we don't want to loose our veto power) and the fact that we're paying millions of Euro's to EU (and UK in particular) and get nothing in return. (in UK case we get a thankless 5th colomnist).

Wouter


Wouter,

Please get your facts right.

The highest contributors to the EU coffers are Germany,

Then the UK (the figure below is including the rebate, we pay 5.something before the rebate). I think you will find that none of the NL Euro is going to the UK.

Then the Netherlands

[Linked Image]

(image from the BBC)
Posted By: David Ingram

Holly Crap! - 06/10/05 08:50 PM

Quote
Rolf,
Check out the link, pretty nice boat kits from these guys.

http://www.clcboats.com/boats/sailrig.php/cart_id=b2aece4e0ba65309d08d10c5e2d9bef7/


A post on sailing... Now who's the smart butt that put this in here.
Posted By: mmiller

Re: Kayak Sail Rigs - 06/10/05 09:25 PM

Quote
I have yet to see a kayak with a sailrig.


[Linked Image]

Take a look at the Hobie Sail rig on a Hobie Mirage Kayak.

Hobie Kayak Sail
Posted By: Rolf_Nilsen

Re: Kayak Sail Rigs - 06/10/05 09:42 PM

Thanks guys, nice pictures and the CLC trimaran kit is a cool thing in my opinion (I know CLC very well, I have buildt a Chesapeake 18 from their plans, and was pondering a Pax 20 for a time as well but could not find the 3mm plywood).

What I meant tough, is that I have never seen anybody _use_ a sailrig on a kayak, and I live in a kayaking hotspot. Perhaps it's becouse it's a bit hard to do an eskimo roll with a sailrig attached. And we all know about the need to seal the mast, right?
Posted By: grob

Re: Holly Crap! - 06/10/05 09:54 PM

Quote
A post on sailing... Now who's the smart butt that put this in here.


Nice one dingram, next thing you know, people will be talking about why US sail boat sales might be down!
Posted By: mmiller

Re: Kayak Sail Rigs - 06/10/05 10:18 PM

Quote
it's a bit hard to do an eskimo roll with a sailrig attached.


Most kayak sail rigs are for downwind sailing only and if they want weather performance, they have to add a lee board. With the MirageDrive you get forward momentum for increased aparent wind, the fins act as latteral resistance and you can pedal throug tacks and gybes. Sailing through a gybe is pretty tough on a kayak due to the inastability, but add the drive-speed you can do it easily and you certainly can't get stuck in irons! Plus we are working a a dodger for the legs (as these are sit on tops) that will take care of another concern of people that live north like yourself... warmth. You get the safety of a sit on top (easy exit and you can easily get back on, no eskimo roll required) with the warmth of a sit inside. The dodger will have a slot for the sail rig too.
Posted By: Keith

Re: Holly Crap! - 06/10/05 10:19 PM

Quote
Quote
Rolf,
Check out the link, pretty nice boat kits from these guys.

http://www.clcboats.com/boats/sailrig.php/cart_id=b2aece4e0ba65309d08d10c5e2d9bef7/


A post on sailing... Now who's the smart butt that put this in here.


Ooops, sorry.

I meant to say that you have to be nincompoop to ignore the socio-economic indicators of multi and single party systems in countries that may or may not selectively apply marxist, socialistic, or capitalistic interpretations of the value of the Euro vs. the dollar vs. the yen while either giving their citizens access to vacations, or healthcare, or tuna sandwiches, or none of the above while voting for or against the EU constitution, only if they like or dislike France or cuddly puppies and find the size of Rush Limbaugh's or Al Franken's waistline tied (or not) to the amount of Sardines contributed or consumed by the members of the EU to support the rights of migratory social, fiscal, or apathetic conservatives or liberals to vote whether or not to raise or repeal the oppressive sock tax (opposed as a gimme by the sandal wearing political action extremists) for those who might consider the accepted (or not) theories of supply and demand as applied to whining or winning Americans or Europeans with respect to whether they want to buy a sailboat or a powerboat, as they approve or disapprove of government funding for birth control for baby whales. Or not.

And, by the way, that's a cool pic of a sailboat!

How's that?
Posted By: Rolf_Nilsen

Re: Kayak Sail Rigs - 06/10/05 10:26 PM

Matt, that's why I liked the CLC trimaran concept, stability on all courses and windward ability (lee-board fitted to the crossbeams).

Now, I know how to do several types of eskimo rolls, so I prefer a traditional kayak. Sit on tops have not taken off up here yet (untraditional, and quite cold water/weather as you note). I have also yet to see a MirageDrive, but I look forward to see one someday. Perhaps you should make Hobie Cat Norway (Per Hansen-Tangen) do a promotion tour on the west coast
Posted By: Wouter

Yeah Right ! - 06/10/05 10:35 PM

Let me see.

Germany with 82.16 million (1999) citizens pays 7.7 billion Euro's

UK with 58.68 million (1999) pays 2.8 Million after a hefty rebate (over 2 billion Euro's)

Than the super nation of Holland with a population of 16.30 million (2005; was less in 1999) pays 2.0 Billion thus outperforming :

France with 62.4 (2004) pays 1.9 billion Euro's


So we pay 3 times more per head than UK citizens, 4 times more per head than the French, and still 30 % more per head then the good Germans.

That is because our politicians don't know how to negociate at European level. Margret Thatcher negociated a huge rebate and still was nothing more than trouble. We are the most behaved boy of the class (stability pact) and as thanks get milked for all we are worth.

So yes we are indeed outpaying the loud mouths.

And this is my final posting on this. If anybody wants to continue this off-topic (sailing ?) discussion than lets do it privately.

Wouter

Posted By: scooby_simon

Re: Yeah Right ! - 06/10/05 11:09 PM

Quote
Let me see.

Germany with 82.16 million (1999) citizens pays 7.7 billion Euro's

UK with 58.68 million (1999) pays 2.8 Billion after a hefty rebate (over 2 billion Euro's)

Than the super nation of Holland with a population of 16.30 million (2005; was less in 1999) pays 2.0 Billion thus outperforming :

France with 62.4 (2004) pays 1.9 billion Euro's


So we pay 3 times more per head than UK citizens, 4 times more per head than the French, and still 30 % more per head then the good Germans.

That is because our politicians don't know how to negociate at European level. Margret Thatcher negociated a huge rebate and still was nothing more than trouble. We are the most behaved boy of the class (stability pact) and as thanks get milked for all we are worth.

So yes we are indeed outpaying the loud mouths.

And this is my final posting on this. If anybody wants to continue this off-topic (sailing ?) discussion than lets do it privately.

Wouter



Sounds like you need a new set of politicians !

Like is all about negotiations !
Posted By: grob

Re: Kayak Sail Rigs - 06/11/05 08:09 AM

Quote
I have also yet to see a MirageDrive, but I look forward to see one someday. Perhaps you should make Hobie Cat Norway (Per Hansen-Tangen) do a promotion tour on the west coast


I don't think these Kayaks are available in Europe, can you enlighten us Matt?
Posted By: Jake

Re: Kayak Sail Rigs - 06/11/05 12:46 PM

Mirage Drive (which is totally unique):

http://www.hobiecat.com/kayaking/miragedrive.html
Posted By: sail6000

Re: EU realities- - 06/11/05 04:00 PM


The global economy is based on currencies inc.the Dollar and Euro ,-as the exchange rates fluxuate with corrections between this sets off corrections in the global marketplace --IE AS this pertains to US sailboat sales ,-Not many US sailors are going to purchase EU boats at inflated EU value prices --a 30,000 dollar plus 20 for example when an I-20 is available at half the price .--US sailboat sales in total go down in 04 --now up in total in 05 ,though US mfg and other imports may be the increase ,--thus the correction over time of fewer EU boats sold ,--the higher Euro valuation not always a positive factor on the EU ecomomy or indicator of future economy ,-and more due to foreign investment in dollars or Euros -and return on investment .
good article here --http://www.cato.org/dailys/01-02-04.html

The increase in EU may be due more to the more free market industrious UK and other more free market oriented EU nations entering along with promises to hold individual nations deficets to a low percentage ,--of which numerous nations like FR that can not sustain its socialistic entitments promptly are breaking by running larger ones than agreed and other EU nations are holding to. This while having nil on self defence or any real military . Note they are also breaking Kyoto environmental agreements ,-and have numerous military and conflicting economic interests and dalliances in their former African colonial nations under UN auspicies like the Ivory Coast ,-where military intervention and bungling continues .

What you begin to see is a another bankrupt socialistic nation its elitist leaders --Chirac and Co. {as per failed former soviet union} acting much worse and causing more damage and it appears being involved in coruption. Numerous govt officials being involved in the UN oil for Food Scandal --FR having been the Husseins regimes major trade partner .---Socialist nations corrupt leaders or as per last centuries history --national socialism can become far far worse than any corperation could ever imagine .---People can be inherantly evil and descuctive in government or private sectors --it is nieve to believe otherswise and invest your future in socialistic notions while the con of a false boogyman construct of evil boogmen corperations ,--be they in Galleons or modern transport ships .
VDH warns us to watch CHINA --unchecked by any constraints of EU or caring much about its opinions or caring about morally unfounded letcuring or socialistic notions.

The world depends on a healthy growing economy and stable markets and currencies ,--millions upon millions suffer in a global recession . The US has always actively been directly involved and encouraged free trade with Europe , more evident now with globalization of so many international companies . We wish a happy healthy free prosperous people of all nations that make up the EU ,-though EU constitution is full of ambiguios language that states one thing then contradicts itself ,giving too much power to centralized EU authorities ,--not necessarily pro biz as some suggest or mistakenly believe.

-IE -Take the critical term “subsidiarity,” with which the euro constitution promises to protect the vestiges of national sovereignty. This term invariably occurs in the vicinity of a seriously damaging question, namely: What remains of the democratic forms of government achieved by the nation-states when the EU takes charge of their legislation? The answer is that we must apply the “principle of subsidiarity,” according to which decisions are all to be taken at the “lowest level compatible with the project of Union.”

What is this lowest level, you may ask, and who decides which decisions are to be taken there? The only possible answer to the second question — namely, the EU apparatus, including the European Court of Justice — removes all meaning from the first.

The Eu poster sites in part--quote --
For the Dutch --(we don't want to loose our veto power) and the fact that we're paying millions of Euro's to EU That and the fact that many are tired that our politicians are selling us down stream to lobby groups and big corporations. In general, people care less about free markets and open borders than about the benefits of a social-democratic society. In france a few other points were involved as well; most having to do with market liberalisation and the cutting of state social programs.
end quote -

The poster fails to comprehend the basic lessons of history previously stated --That is in part no civilization has grown or prospered without a healthy marketplace -free trade -and large middle class of entrapenures partisipating in it ,--The Galleons sailing trade routes and opening the new world with free trade routes and nations of the EU coastal region built its population centers in centuries old cities like Amsterdam for example.

We suppose people like the poster sited the big Galleon corperations and trading shop owners of the 1600s as the evil boogyman , never comprehending little would have been built without the free trade and Galleons with free sea access and military to protect them ,-A difficult lesson learned latter in history now seemingly forgotten again .
Now similarly erroring in thinking ---
-quote
>>, "people care less about free markets and open borders than about the benefits of a social-democratic society"
end quote

Please comprehend --the hospitals -roadways -infrastructures for cities --water sewer systems -bridges -electrical grids -power stations --complex flood water control systems --etc all require an inflow of revenue ,-these are created by hardworking people -
{{not necessarily evil --"big-corperations "}} a rather childlike boogyman concept ,-just people producing valued services and goods that require open free marketplaces along with needed resources and materials. Imported goods reciperacly being needed to provide decent standards of living -
Without this EU declines and socialists boogyman meets the reality of a more embittered people disillusioned by declining standards and bankrupt system unable to sustain itself .
People in EU nations are certainly free to live a socialistic existance as per here in the US ,---however - WITHOUT BASIC FREE TRADE -capitol investment -entrapanurialism -and freedom of human creation in a free open marketplace without excessive taxation a people or nation or group of nations have no basis to sustain itself ,
Thus this aspect of human exisance --the free human creative entrapenurial insticts ingrained in us must be the central humanitarian theme ,-this requires us to engage to mutual benifit ,-which enables us to build prosper and solve the problems of humanity .



Posted By: Rolf_Nilsen

Re: EU realities- - 06/11/05 04:37 PM

Carl, this is getting _very_ lengthy, and I must confess I find a lack of introspection in your postings.
Most of the things you hold against the EU and the french are things the U.S are doing themself. As far as I know, the U.S have not even ratified the Kyoto agreement, so for you to critizise the europeans for having trouble fulfilling it is kind of strange.
African colonies held by european contries (what colonies are those)!?? I guess the 'colonies' the U.S. holds doesn't count (you call them territories, and dont even give the natives a vote).
France going bancrupt, and the french not paying taxes.. Get real. Of course they pay taxes, and comparing France with the former Sovjet union is just incomprehensible.
As a side note, I pay 25%V.A.T on everything I buy, goods and services that goes directly to the state. In addition, I pay 23% income tax _and_ I live in a what could be called a socialist state. I think your definition of socialism needs to be updated, we do not live in the 60's anymore, and McCharty'ism really should be dead.

I do think the U.S economy are in more trouble than the french. After all, you are burning your national budget on warfare abroad and "security" measures, like putting our former prime minister (elected three times, with no controversy over the ballots) and former president of the World Health Organization in custody at border control.

Critique is OK, but a certain level of introspection to go hand in hand with it would be nice. It would be nice to meet you over a bottle of wine and discuss the differences between the U.S and Europe with you, as it sounds like you are sadly misinformed and could need some insight in how Europe really works.

Shall we go on and talk sailing here instead?

Best regards
Rolf
Posted By: mmiller

Re: Kayak Sail Rigs - 06/11/05 05:42 PM

Quote
I don't think these Kayaks are available in Europe, can you enlighten us Matt?


I expect that by next fall there will be wider promotion and distribution of the Hobie Kayaks in Europe. Actually, we are hardly able to keep up with the production volume now. This is a natural for the European market. Human powered, compact and technical.

We will be introducing a new model at the end of this summer that is virtually a triamaran. It is a longer touring hull with optional standard sail rig, optional folding amas and optional larger furling sail rig (similar to the Bravo sail). Should be pretty cool! This will be our first real padaling sailboat. Can you imagine? Pedal out of a harbor, sail, pedal through difficult conditions (tacks etc) and pedal home when the wind dies. You also get greatly enhanced performance pedaling and sailing together.
Posted By: sail6000

Re: EU realities- - 06/11/05 05:51 PM

Hi Rolf -

As noted previously ,it is a mistake to place too much faith in the EU press that form your US bias opinions conversely,

Maxist speak --ambiguous langueage ,--as pointed out as contained in the EU constitution that was voted down by FR people -Dutch people ,--and now not being bothered with by voting in the UK on it ,-is a leftover deficet from that idealism and age .
Reference to 60s McCarthyism seems the same ,--the reverse is more often true today .
-but
thanks --appreciate the sailing invitation -hope to someday ,-sailing is a wonderfull universal that all share the joy of reguarless of extent of socialist idealism etc .
I,ve met so many people from different nations sailing --icluding a team from the former soviet union that entered the 87 Worrell 1000 --I still have a T shirt from them we traded . It has a large CCCP on it ,--though would not ever wear it and comprehend what it represented in human suffering .
People are just people --from all over the globe .
My perspective is admittedly small on EU as a whole .
In my high school years we had an exchange student from the formner Ugoslavia live with us -from Skopjopi Masadonia ,-who became an emergency doctor and lifelong friend ,-past away a few years ago ,-and who also sent his sons here locally to study a generation latter. -
Great experience in life , one I value greatly,-and highly recommend .

I,ve seen over decades through him how damaging it was to live under an oppressive govt, and how he changed over decades ,-Of course when Marshal Tito died and Soviet union collapsed all hell broke loose as Boschco said it would and human genocide began in the region ,--on Europes doorstep .
It seems EU or the UN did little at the time--it was a talk talk debate debate as people died by the thousands policy-

When another EU poster describes themselves as
{{noble fencers }} who look at conflict and evaluate it is rather difficult . There was nothing noble about this . One good thing Clinton did finally do was to instruct Gen. Clark to intervein --but only areal bombing to stop it --which he did for 76 straight days ,--then was fired by Clinton .--
It seems then as now supposed UN peacekeepers simply turned their back on more genocide ,-- The worse aspect of this is more of the same occuring now in other regions .

Ive seen the damage -government entities and agents do -often without being held accountable .
Corruption in oil for food is something EU and the UN will have to be accountable for if they wish to have any credibilty left.

Comparing the S U with Chiracs FR is not comperable --granted -though Chirac is currently on his way out and very unpopular with the FR people as is his choise of successor equaly unpopular --Sincerely hope they change and the FR peoples voice is heard over its elitist govt.

On Kyoto --lets see --pass green legislation --agree to it --then don,t bother with it --use it to pompusly criticize and presume to lecture the US FOR NON COMPLIANCE --then hypocritically don,t bother yourself to meet the terms of it you agreed to or comply yourself ??,
Arnold in Calif is doing much the same currently having just passed green legislation for Calif beyond Kyoto goals but not taking effect until 08 and beyond ----guess he,s taken some doublespeak ques from EU as it can not be realistaly met either . I prefer an honest realistic approach rather than false pretence anytime.

As noted all people have the right to choose to live a socialistic existance --acedemia allows this -large labor unions -govt.employment and large corp allow this same sence of employment benifits in a larger entity --People also need the right to basic freedoms and human rights including their own in a free open marketplace -The larger point is that this is the priority in structuring govt policy that has proven through time to benifit all people best .-Freedom to choose -basic human rights and FREEDOM -
THIS REQUIRES FAITH AND BELIEF IN OTHERS .

This ideal -belief exemplified ,-as per numerous free nations globally ,formerly under oppresive regimes and govt .now free to self consentual govt and basic human rights and freedom .

The cost of this is high ,-correct Rolf,--but the alternative seems much worse , The US CONTINUES to support free nations globally since World War 2 ---
think yours benifitted from this as well and continues to --correct




Posted By: Rolf_Nilsen

Re: EU realities- - 06/11/05 06:44 PM

This part of the thread deserves to go into history rather soon, I think.

Yes, Norway benefited enourmously by the Marshal help. To bad that your present government doesn't have the same view on the needing countries of the world.
The relationship between our two states have soured recently. Your ambassodor presented a quite clear threat of further degradetion between us the last time I heard him speak, due to our objections to your foreign policy.

Former Yugoslavia was a disaster nobody wanted to get involved in, and a tragedy followed. The UN can not go into a country unless all combatants wish it, thats why there are no 'blue-troops' in Israel. When UN forces was there, they did not fight becouse politicians did not allow them to. We trained with the danish tank batallion that went down there in 1994, and no doubt the UN had the capacity to take on the agressors. (We learnt the danes winter warfare with heavy cavallery, so I was kind of involved)
NATO should have put the foot down there much earlier, and the UN should have stood their ground (I know the UN forces would have fought, if allowed to by politicians).
In Srebrenica a whole UN brigade was posted, but again politicians refused them to defend themself when the serbians moved in. What ensued was a massacre the UN forces could just watch, while grinding their teeth. There is a very large difference between procrastinating like this and adopting "pre-emptive" strategies tough.
I dont see your point by bringing up this disaster? Looking for errors and faults in the future will bring us nowhere. It's the present and the future one can do something with, while learning what one can from the past.

The Oil for Food scandal is big in the U.S., primarly becouse the U.S. government wants to get rid of the current leadership and replace it with it's own minions. A certain vindicativeness is probably also influencing this, due to the UN's troublesom interference with Washingtons foreign policies.
I am not saying that there have not been a certain level of corruption going on tough.

I think we in Europe have at least the same freedom as you do in the U.S. But we also provide a security net for our fellow citizens trough taxes. Thats one of the pillars of the european socialism. I fear that you have made socialism==communism, which is not true.

A last parthian shot. If we are to meet, it would have to be in Europe. I will not accept the kind of registration your current immigration check requires (fingerprints and biometric data. It was in fact better in october 2001, just after the attacs, when we visited friends in New York, even if the immigration officers was quite thorough and security was plain insane).

I recommend that you read some of Michael Moores work (and website) with an open mind, and then balances it with e.g. Fox News political comments and what else comes out of Washington. The english and german news are also excellent if you want a balanced view on the world. I follow both U.S. and european news, and try to see both sides..
Posted By: sail6000

Re: moore bufoonery - 06/11/05 07:17 PM

Oh - Rolf ,-
If you think the make believe film bufoonery of Moore --from a nearby Michigan uppermiddleclass suburb of Flint --NOT flint as he claims -is valid you are sorely misinformed --there are some 60 documented blatent errors and ommissions in that propagandist film .--

He has made millions from it by duping gullable people on false conspiracy theory they seem so desperate to wish to believe --

I,ve had no problem traveling or flying --but agree --there are numerous aspects of travel and securities acts that need changing to make travel and access more friendly again --
Just designed for two that work for the Homeland Security agency --both state changes and more intel should ease travel restriction and checks --
One is assigned to ride airlines as passanger ,-ex marine --enough said .

Please get some factual info on the local bufoon moore ,

I understand your investment and belief in your nations system -it works for some --not all --and realistic factual accessment based in fact is periodically required ,--
this you will not get from sources like moore -

one last partisan comment here as well -
The disconnect made currently to 25 million new free people under self concentual government in Afghanistan and another 25 million in Iraq --11 million of whom voted in recent elections despite terrorist dangers with your own nation ,---may indicate how quickly these new nations may pass yours in living standards ,-before you dismiss this consider how many former eastern bloc soviet nations in EU are now free and have equal or better standards of living in EU .
Also the unmentioned dividend of not having some 7,000 interbalistic missles pointed at various EU and US targets by a former Soviet Union and its 30 satelite territories now numerous independant free nations ---like yours .
Posted By: Rolf_Nilsen

Re: moore bufoonery - 06/11/05 07:35 PM

That's the point Carl, follow both extreme sides somewhat, read the middle more carefully and decide for yourself whats the truth and what your opinion is.
Bill O'Reilly of Fox and Michael Moore are antipodes..
Posted By: sail6000

Re: bufoonery - 06/11/05 08:01 PM


No -moore is a ficticious movie maker --oreily is a talk show --not news
Fox channel has numerous shows --the news report is anchored by Brit Hume --very credible --a viewer will see numerous opinions clearly expressed on this news show --not the case in others --
lets review --moore ---a big fat stupid now rich white guy that makes fictional movies and calls them documentaries
oreily --not too different but at least attempts to present different veiws and fact ,-
Brit Hume --news reporter anchor -previously employed by NBC etc etc
news sources read --inc - Washington Post -NY Times -CNN -foriegn affairs -enjoy National Review and Weekly Standard to balance those .
The N R has periodic articles on the EURO PRESS ,-sorry it is somewhat bias but do read what the EU press is stating --
http://www.nationalreview.com/europress/europress-archive.asp

here is a sample of Denis Boyle,s reporting on the EU Press
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January 28, 2005, 8:17 a.m.
Grim Tales
Want to get scared? Ignore what you see. Believe only what you read.



My late grandfather, Claude, distinguished combat veteran of the first World War and a man who could not say the word "France" without first saying "disgusting" or "ridiculous" or "gol-darn" or worse, felt about the press — such as it was in Kansas way back when — the way he felt about France. Once, fed up with a local newspaper, he abridged a half-hour fulmination on the idiocies of the midwestern media by simply picking up the rag, walking over to a window, looking out at a torrential downpour and muttering, "According to the paper, it's partly cloudy."


This was in the '60s, when creating alternative realities was a chemical enterprise that would soon become a journalistic one. These days, disputing what any fool can plainly see is a sacred calling in the global press, but of course the Europeans do it with a special anti-American panache, fueled by the reelection of George W. Bush. The reality of another four years of Dubya has created in the media a demand for a parallel universe unlike any since a generation of shaggy noggins first nodded out to Surrealistic Pillow. Here are some headlines from a place called lost hope:


Americans Conflicted on 2nd Term
This, it probably goes without saying, is an International Herald Tribune pick-up from the New York Times, where no news is good news — and conversely all news is bad news, especially if the subject is Bush or Iraq. The idea here is as easy as 1-2-3, and it's been noticed before by others: If the real world happens in a way you don't like, 1. write the story that comforts you, then 2. make a poll to validate your comfort and then 3. extrapolate a more pleasing reality!


World fears new Bush era
World fears clowns, pit-bulls, and falling skies, too. The people who conducted the global poll before the U.S. election — reported in English here by Deutsche Welle, but trumpeted around the planet — showed Kerry the clear leader over Bush among people who cannot vote. Last week, they were back for a post-election recount, just to make sure they got it right. Sure enough, as the Guardian's headline above makes plain, Bush really did lose, morally, anyway, and as a result, now we're all losers too: "The survey also indicated for the first time that dislike of Mr Bush is translating into a dislike of Americans in general." Not to mention Americans in uniform. Like the previous GlobalScan poll (want to participate in one? Here you go!), the European media loved this story: Here it is in Handelsblatt for the strudel crowd. The subtext of this is simple: If all you care about are stupid numbers, then, sure — Bush won. But as everyone in the media realizes, democracy has nothing to do with numbers. If what you really care about are ideas, the results are different, because, according to experts...


Democracy is dangerous
Leftwing Europeans know democracy is a crackpot notion because it figured prominently in George W. Bush's inauguration address. Paleolithic Marxist Eric Hobsbawm helpfully explains democracy's illusory qualities in (yet another) Guardian piece, this one borrowed from Le Monde Diplomatique. When Marxism had a shot, chaps like Hobsbawm were dreaming nightly of a single, global political model — theirs. Now that messy democracy is the planet's political play, the idea that all people should rule their governments is suddenly ludicrous: "If gas stations, iPods, and computer geeks are the same worldwide, why not political institutions?" Indeed. Hear that, you computer geeks?


Torture in Iraq! Now more than ever!
That's a paraphrase of a Le Monde headline, but unless you've spent the last year in an Iraqi jail getting the styling gel beat out of you, you've seen it before. It's now accepted wisdom in Greater Vermont — and especially in the French and German parts of it — that in Iraq and Afghanistan, U.S. soldiers are keeping themselves busy killing civilians and torturing innocent British booksellers (that is, if this Guardian item resembles anything approaching the truth). Nothing turns reality on its head like huffing your own rhetoric. Use enough of it and you start hallucinating. For example, according to Belgium's La Libre if you're the formerly sane Ted Turner, Fox's Rupert Murdoch is Hitler. And if you're a George Soros's favorite like Human Rights Watch, there's a torturer behind the wheel of every passing Humvee.

Now, last time I was in this space, I made a crack about the "torture" that took place at Abu Ghraib, and my mailbox instantly filled with earnest e-mails wanting to know why I didn't condemn torture. So here: I hate torture. I just don't happen to buy the notion that torture is a routine policy of the U.S. government in Iraq or elsewhere. And I also don't buy the notion that just because HRW reports it, it's true. "Human Rights Watch reveals human rights abuse" is as compelling as "Greenpeace announces environmental crisis." There are billions of dollars at stake in the crisis industry and millions of uh...what's the polite word here? NPR listeners sending in their green. None of them is going to dig very deep when they read, "Greenpeace lauds environmental progress."

As the BBC reports, this week Human Rights Watch has alleged Iraqi forces have been "systematically" doing nasty things to terrorists. This follows by a few days HRW's effort to lobby against Alberto Gonzales, as reported by Le Nouvel Observateur, and a charge that bacon-packers are being abused in U.S. meat plants. Imagine if they were Iraqi bacon-packers! Look, if it's proved that some American official is putting the government's stamp of approval on actual torture — like, let's say, the sort of thing Islamic fundamentalists do to their prisoners — then there'll be hell to pay, no doubt. So far, that isn't the case, and hysterically yelling "torture!" every day or so won't make it so. It will take a Michael Moore movie to do that.


Auschwitz adds to U.S.-EU friction
This headline, on a Judy Dempsey item in the International Herald Tribune, is this week's ultimate in bizarre, out-of-reality reporting. According to Dempsey, "the attendance of Vice President Dick Cheney is a bitter disappointment" to "prominent Poles" — who apparently represent the entire EU — because Cheney is not Bush. After all, writes Dempsey, "The Auschwitz ceremony will include President Vladimir Putin of Russia, President Horst Köhler of Germany, President Jacques Chirac of France and President Moshe Katzav of Israel." As evidence of how "Auschwitz adds to US-EU Friction," Dempsey quotes "veteran intellectuals," including MEP Bronislaw Geremek: "I would like to see the president of the United States attend the...Auschwitz commemoration." Who wouldn't? But why? Says Geremek, a historian, "[I]t should be said that the Holocaust helped to create the European Union. It was the answer to the totalitarian ideology created on European soil, such as Auschwitz."

A digression: I admire Prof. Geremek. But it should not be said that the Holocaust helped to create the European Union. In fact, the European Union owes its provenance to Walther Funk and other architects of Hitler's New Order, not to Auschwitz. Historian Mark Mazower, in Dark Continent: Europe's Twentieth Century, claims that the Funk plan "...bore more than a passing resemblance to the post-war Common Market. The 'New Order' beloved of the youthful technocrats at the Reich Ministry of Economics involved the economic integration of western Europe and the creation of a tariff-free zone." Eugen Weber, writing a few years ago in The Atlantic (here, if you're a subscriber), agrees: "The European Union, its attendant bureaucracy, even the euro, all appear to stem from the Berlin-Vichy collaboration." To the extent that France did more than its share to fill the concentration camps for their partners, the Germans, and that their mutual hatred of Jews brought them both closer together, Geremek may have a point.

Of course, the real story about Bush, Poland, and the EU was not to be seen in the IHT. It was in Die Zeit, where Poland's Wladyslaw Bartoszewski explained the reasons for Polish loyalty toward the US, and in Brussels, where, according to Handelsblatt, Polish representatives didn't take very kindly to leftwing British and German efforts to spare German feelings by attempting to identify Auschwitz as a "Polish camp" in the official EU resolution commemorating the 60th anniversary of the liberation. The issue blossomed into a Brussels-sized furor, according to the EU Observer. Schroder had to call off his MEPs, who finally agreed to admit that "Nazis" had built the camps.

Meanwhile, Davids Medienkritik has collected a bunch of clips from the German press in which the Auschwitz-Abu Ghraib connection is finally explained. A sample, from TAZ: "The torture scandal of the US army in Abu Ghraib shows that sadism has a place in civilized nations, while Guantánamo Bay proves that the principle of the concentration camp...today is upheld with pride by the leading nation of the civilized world."

Now there's an artificial reality any German can uphold with pride.


ITEMS
Romancing the Stone: The mystification surrounding Bush's upcoming voluntary mortification at the hands of Chirac and Schroder continues to grow. Writing in the IHT, John Vinocur observes Bush's curious embrace of self-humiliation: "By spending time in Germany with Schroder in February during his trip to Europe, President George W. Bush is offering a sign of consideration that acknowledges both the likelihood of the chancellor's being around for the long haul and more active German leadership in Europe."

Whatever exists of an opposition in Germany is running, in a haphazard way, on what might not be described as a pro-American position, but at least the German conservatives are not surviving by promoting the widespread hatred of America, as Schroder has done. On his European fact-finding mission, Thomas Friedman did his reporting from "the Pony Club, a trendy bar/beauty parlor in East Berlin" — well, this is a Times columnist, remember. "There is nothing that the Europeans want to hear from Bush, there is nothing that they will listen to from Bush that will change their minds about him or the Iraq war or U.S. foreign policy," Friedman writes in the IHT. "Bush is more widely and deeply disliked in Europe than any U.S. president in history." Of course, that won't stop Bush doing his best to prop up Gerhard. The theory apparently is that what Bush was able to do in Pennsylvania when he campaigned with Arlen Specter to defeat a conservative Republican will work for him in Germany. Maybe if Chirac comes up with a Title IX for French lady wrestlers, Bush will campaign for him, too.

Goodbye Lisbon. The Lisbon strategy for bringing the EU into competitive parity with the U.S. by 2010, has become as popular as Portuguese folk music, according to a round-up in Eursoc: "If business leaves the EU for friendlier states, it is unlikely to be lured back by the promise of even higher taxes to pay for workers languishing on welfare. As Europe's population ages and the working population dwindles, companies will not be tempted to invest in economies which must dedicate ever higher proportions of GDP to pension schemes."

Careful! That pipkin's loaded! Binge drinking is a big problem in Britain. At closing time, drunkards empty out of the pubs, fill the gutters, fight in the streets, relieve themselves on shrubs and on each other, and break into people's homes — with impunity, since the Labour government recently ruled that burglars should be protected from violence. The government's proposal to stem the tide of closing-time drunks is to abolish closing times. The Daily Mail is furious, accusing the government of lunacy. According to the The Publican, a trade paper, landlords aren't going to tolerate that kind of treatment by the press, so, as they edge their customers toward blind drunkenness, they'll also be telling them not to read the Mail. Not while they drink. Not even while they drive. The Times's patron saint of sanctimony, Simon Jenkins, is outraged at their outrage. "The alcohol lobby is Britain's version of America's gun lobby," types Jenkins. That's exactly the problem, of course.
Posted By: Rolf_Nilsen

Re: bufoonery - 06/11/05 09:06 PM

Well, I took the time to read that quite long post. If this is what you base your opinion on, it's flawed. This is biased comments from an U.S media corporation on what a few of the E.U based media (corporations) write. If you had actually read the sources, you would perhaps have better insight in what they wrote, why and the quality of that media. Thats why I read what Fox reports, but I always bear in mind that the best thing that came from Fox was the Simpsons (the same applies to Moore of course, his best work was Bowling for Columbine).

And I really think that Moore and O'Reilly are antipodes..

I dont think we will get further in this discussion at present, and I'll let i be from here. We can continue by private messages if you want to, instead of boring the rest of the readers of this thread.
Posted By: sail6000

Re: bufoonery - 06/11/05 09:29 PM


Agreed --thanks --enjoyed the exchange -in working at the design board ,-it was a welcome periodic break .

I really enjoy NR and often laugh at Denis Boyles reports on the EURO Press --once you know the players its humorous and one begins to understand the ingrained bias of all human beings .
Suppose the leftist euro press and mikey moore have much in common --
I don,t watch oreily or care for the bufoonery of moore -
please don,t take either too seriously --no one here does !!
Thought you might enjoy Boyle,s perspective --particularly on the origins of EURO constitution -

My 4 kids love the Simpsons --http://www.thesimpsons.com/index.html

Some things the US exports the average person here does not comprehend the power of images and effect --the US culture is often very crass --All I can tell you is most think so also and fortunately have a huge selection and variety of entertainment and news sources ,-most simpley change the station or turn it all off and go sailing -
where I,m headed --now -

take care Rolf
wishing all the best to you and yours
Carl
Posted By: wyatt

Re: EU realities- - 06/18/05 11:57 PM

[quote]
To bad that your present government doesn't have the same view on the needing countries of the world.

Former Yugoslavia was a disaster nobody wanted to get involved in,

Rolf:

Thanks for keeping the communications up. I just want to get one more thing clear from you: No one was suppose to stop the genocide in Yogosavia; or Vietnam; or Ruganda or the middle east? You want us all to back away again until no one can actually afford a sailboat?
Posted By: wyatt

Re: bufoonery - 06/19/05 12:08 AM

OOPs, So Sorry.

You finished in a gentleman's fashion. It was fun watching you two guys and I'm sorry I missed the last two messages.

God bless America; see you in the future.

Wyatt
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