Good morning!
Looks like the eyewall implosion from yesterday continues to persisit. Westerly shear is increasing from the west and should continue through landfall. Forward speed is slowly beginning to slow and this is not good because of the prolonged affects of winds/rain. The landfall position is still uncertain but we can all guess somewhere along the Florida east coast south of the Cape. Folks who are staying put have a little more time for home preparations since the interstate system is a parking lot. However, Frances has not reached the warmer waters between Eleuthra and the SE FL coast meaning there could be a strenghtening before landfall. With all the filling Frances has gone through(up to 954mb), I suspect the NHC wants to downgrade a bit but are hesitant to do so. The NHC discussion is now beginning to increase it's verbage on what is causing this change in intensity. If you don't understand the weather speak, please ask a question and I'll do my best to put it in to "laymens" terms. I'll be back online after 4pm CDT.
There is also Tropical Storm Ivan to start looking at too!
Bob
