Thanks Eric.
The reason the inside overlap between black and red matters is that will involve RRS 18. If there is no inside overlap, RRS 18 is not in play.
"If PD/black hadn't been there, would SD/red still have gybed into PU?"
Obviously, I didn't say that. I think red probably just misjudged her turn and/or speed of PU. She may also not have seen SU2 until her gybe was initiated, then was trying to thread that needle (and failed).
Mike, this is just part of the game. You want to sail a fast boat, you better be able to plan, think (and maneuver) fast.
Matt has mentioned this before: All things being equal, the best (most ROW) course into a gate is coming from the right, on starboard, and rounding the right gate. This case is a priceless example of how things can go bad when a bunch of boats have very little ROW to start with.
Mike