I'm looking at the scores but really don't see how the Austrians could realisticly drop to a bronze.

Afterall the same throwout trick that garantees Lovell/Ogletree their silver pretty much garantees the same to Hagara and Steinacher baring a DSQ or finishing 15th or higher. The last is quite an achievement in a 17 boat strong fleet.

Maybe I'm missing something completely but they way I see it the pressure is more on on the Americans than on the Austrians. The Austrians being 3 points ahead means that Lovell/Ogletree must attack and manage to get at least 3 boats between them and the Austrians to claim the gold entirely for themselfs. So I don't understand the "Going after them like ... " either. The Americans will shoot themselfs in the foot by staying near to Roman and Hans Peter; they need to get away. Therefor the latter two can be sure that they can sail their own race tomorrow. The Austrians only need to make sure that they either :

-1- Let no more than 3 boats finish between the Americans and them and finisher higher than 14th.

or

-2- finish higher than 5th.

to take the gold and


-3- finish higher than 14th to take the silver when not staying within 3 boats of the Americans

They are garanteed a medal already.


Compare this to the Americans.


-1- finish at least 4 boats ahead

or

-2- cause both of them to finish 15th or lower

In order to take gold for themselfs.

Apart from that they Americans can stay in bed for silver.


Therefor Hagara's tactic will be simple. Put the boat within a few boatlengths of Lovell and do what ever the Americans are doing short of risking finishing 14th or higher.

Booth on the other hand will try to DSQ everybody above him so he'll be very agressive. Mostly towards Bundock and Lange.

Or am I missing something ?


Wouter