Uh Oh....I guess I missed that one...dangit . But to further complicate matters...Austria would win the tie breaker unless the USA placed first in the last race ([3] 1sts, [3] 2nds vs. [3] 1sts and [1] 2nd). Then the USA would win any tie breaker because they have many more seconds but only one less first place finish right now.

OK properly amended:

A) If Austria finishes worse than 13th, regardless of USA finish, USA wins gold (Austria gets 13 points - USA can only earn 9 since their drop will be this finish if worse than 9th). Scores will be 46 and 45 USA. If this happens, refer to scenario C as to how Austria could even fall to Bronze. Johnny and Charlie could try and cover and slow Austria to keep them in 13th or worse.

B) If trying to out run the Austrians, USA has to finish with 2 boats in between them if they place first or 3 boats in between if USA has any other worse finish position. If USA got 1st, Austria 4th, totals would be 37 and 37 and USA would win the tie breaker ONLY because they scored a first place finish in the last race. If USA is 2nd or worse, there would have to be 3 boats between them and Austria for USA to overtake the gold position by one point because Austria would have more 1st place finishes in the regatta and win a tie breaker. Only if USA obtains a 1st in the last race will they equal Austria's number of first place finishes and since the USA already has many more 2nds than Austria, they now win the tie breaker.

C) Austria can possibly loose 13 points to drop to bronze if they finish poorly and the current 3rd place, Spain, get's 1st or 2nd. This is because Austria's throw out was a 14th place finish in Race 5. The American's, on the other hand, would have to loose 10 points to Spain in order to drop to bronze but since their throwout is currently a 9, they can't possibly earn more than 9 points in the last race hence there is no way Spain can catch them. USA guaranteed silver or gold.

I don't think that even Jobson could explain that for the general public in less than 15 minutes...I can barely explain it to Wouter much less get it right myself! (I'm only joking Wout buddy)

Last edited by Jake; 08/26/04 10:22 PM.

Jake Kohl