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Someone is paying attention #128361
01/09/08 09:34 PM
01/09/08 09:34 PM
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Stewart Offline OP
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Just looked at the ITA website.
On the box rule fact sheet the F18 & F16 are named..
http://www.tornado.org/info/boxrule_factsheet.asp

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Re: Someone is paying attention [Re: Stewart] #128362
01/09/08 09:59 PM
01/09/08 09:59 PM
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Robi Offline
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I <3 Tornadoes! only if they were a tad more affordable.

Re: Someone is paying attention [Re: Robi] #128363
01/10/08 04:59 AM
01/10/08 04:59 AM
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Rolf_Nilsen Offline

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Quite a good read, even if not all the historical details are the same as I have read earlier. Calling the M20 a modern B class is stretching things a bit in my opinion but it is more or less a philosophical question. Good to see the ITA take initative!
The F-16 definately is on the radar in the catsailing community. Next thing is to become a well known class in the sailing community at large.

Re: Someone is paying attention [Re: Rolf_Nilsen] #128364
01/10/08 06:26 AM
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The F-16 definately is on the radar in the catsailing community. Next thing is to become a well known class in the sailing community at large.


To do this we need to post on other sailing forums like SA and www.yachtsandyachting.com

But if we do post in the outside world, we need to be clear, consise, helpfull and accurate. No point going out and pissing everyone off.


F16 - GBR 553 - SOLD

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Re: Someone is paying attention [Re: Stewart] #128365
01/10/08 06:51 AM
01/10/08 06:51 AM
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Wouter Offline
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I'm finding that F16 is named more often in the broader catamaran sailing scene, especially publications.

Indeed it looks like we are becoming a generally accepted class. Now we only have to make sure we also become an established class the world over. We are halve way there.

The work is not completed yet, but if we keep our noses clean and stick at it then there is no reason why we will not succeed at that as well.

Onwards ! Everybody.

Wouter


Wouter Hijink
Formula 16 NED 243 (one-off; homebuild)
The Netherlands
Re: Someone is paying attention [Re: Stewart] #128366
01/10/08 10:12 AM
01/10/08 10:12 AM
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Matt M Offline
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This is great to see.

From our prospective, there was a significant amount of internet chatter in the past about the F16. After the Alter Cup last year though, we began to really see the F16 start to become recognized as a real option. There are now in excess of 50 boats in the US, and even in areas where there are no F16s, the F16 class is now regularly listed with the F18, 20's etc as an option for a boat style/group/class. Apparently this is happening inernationaly as well.

No class or style of boat will fit everyone, and the F16 is definitely not an exception. This class of boat is definitely my favorite of the many designs I have sailed and raced in my lifetime. The feedback we get from virtually everyone who gets on one continues to be extremely positive. As such, to some extent the class sells itself becuase of the boat.

While we have not reached critical mass, with 4 builders (and more at least watching it), and boats reasonably spread across the globe, if we can continue the press and promotion of events I feel the class has a great future.

Regards,

Matt

Re: Someone is paying attention [Re: Rolf_Nilsen] #128367
01/10/08 09:34 PM
01/10/08 09:34 PM

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Not too sure what to make of this comment -

---
A-Catamaran, F-18, B Class, etc. builders are not licensed
Anyone can build a boat... and change it without any notice
In the Olympics, €100000 custom boats would be inevitable
---

Are they contrasting the Tornado with less restrictive rules of the other classes (though I'm not sure that's true)? What are they suggesting would lead to €100000 custom boats?

Mark.

Re: Someone is paying attention [Re: ] #128368
01/10/08 10:36 PM
01/10/08 10:36 PM
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Wouter Offline
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There are some more statements in that ITA section that may be considered strenious.

I wouldn't know how to spend €100.000 on a compliant F18 or F16 and make it show up in the performance beyond say a boat made for €25.000.

Alot of people think that money is the only influence factor for performance (more = faster) and that something that is custom made is automatically better. This is quite often based on misunderstanding the situation. One can only improve a product by having it custom made when the builder knows exactly how the product behaves with respect to even very small changes. This may be true for clothing, but this is certainly not true for sailboat design. Sailboat design still is to a large extend a black art, mixed with large amounts of personal preference and emperical knowlegde. It is impracticle, if not impossible, to achieve significant performance differences by custom designing and custom building a racing boat like the F18.

Look at how much money and time is spend on sail development and how little the steps of improvement really are ?

Wouter


Wouter Hijink
Formula 16 NED 243 (one-off; homebuild)
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Re: Someone is paying attention [Re: Wouter] #128369
01/10/08 10:51 PM
01/10/08 10:51 PM
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Rolf_Nilsen Offline

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Spending GBP100.000 should be no problem. Just invest in enough computer modelling and CFD analyzes. It dont have to make the boat faster, those writing the checks just need to believe it makes the boat faster.

To build boats for sale, you need to be a licensed builder. Otherwise, amateurs are (still) allowed to build one boat a year for personal use. I think they are arguing that "open" rules are bad for cost in the games while the tornado rules are "closed enough" to give everybody a fair chance?

Re: Someone is paying attention [Re: Rolf_Nilsen] #128370
01/11/08 08:07 AM
01/11/08 08:07 AM
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Wouter Offline
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Quote

I think they are arguing that "open" rules are bad for cost in the games while the tornado rules are "closed enough" to give everybody a fair chance?



What ? You can't spend 100.000 on exotic tornado snuffers and sail development if you tried ?

There is no reason why you can spend the entire fortune of Bill Gates on a single beach catamaran, but I really don't believe that that will lead to any significant (= measureable) performance gain over say reasonably well designed a 25.000 boat when limiting yourself to say a ruleset like the F18's.


Quote

Just invest in enough computer modelling and CFD analyzes.


Too many people believe that this is a magic thing. That one only has to put a computer to work on it and that machine will figure out for you what is best. I do alot of computer simulation on noise disturbed data (= real life data) and it simply is not that simple or even that accurate. Alot of people also believe that they are skilled designers when they know how to operate a finite element software package but in reality they are simply not. A very large portion of the designing is to be found in intepreting the computer generated results and quite often you'll see numerical glitches. It take understanding of the algorithms used to make sound intepretations on accuracy and dependability of the generated data. Simply generating a plot with some colourings in it is not accuracy or dependability. Even plots with margins of error are often better at producing a false sense of accuracy and dependability.

An to make things worse. The behaviour of a hull when sailed over a disturbed watersurface is too complex too model accurately in all its details. That means that stochastic analysis (random variables) must be applied to even be able to "run the numbers" on a computer. Stochastic analysis is what you do to predict the outcomes in a Casino and we all know that we can only assign probability levels to those outcomes and thus never be sure. In my experience, probability analysis is something that is widely misunderstood even by well educated engineers. And I must admit it is a very tricky subject that requires you utmost focus to not overlook details that can change the whole model or your results.

To give an example :

Proof which situation has the highest probability of being truthful or else proof that all situations are just as likely the happen :

-1- it is easiest to throw at least the number 6 ones when throwing the dice 6 times
-2- it is easiest to throw at least the number 6 twice when throwing the dice 12 times
-3- it is easiest to throw at least the number 6 three times when throwing the dice 18 times


And then the best part of stochastic processes it that you need to be able to produce a component far more accurately then the difference that was designed into the boat from a prior design. Else the natural variance in production overpowers your designed in difference. Then all that work is just pointless as you will have to produce 10's of boats and test them all to see which boat is actually reflecting what you designed. Much like how the top Laser sailors go through scores of boats and mast to find the best combination. That is OD design for you !

As a matter of fact just producing a [censored] load of models and find the best one by testing them all may actually be the most inexpensive option as you won't need highly accurate (expensive) production tooling and you can still sell the lesser products to part time racers and recreational sailor, thus getting a pretty sizeable return on investment.

Indeed, one can easily spend 100.000 on a golden doornob with platinum and diamond decorations, but in the end of the day it is just a doornob whose function is implemented just as well by a 1 dollar plastic handle we all buy at wallmart.

Wouter

Last edited by Wouter; 01/11/08 09:21 AM.

Wouter Hijink
Formula 16 NED 243 (one-off; homebuild)
The Netherlands
Re: Someone is paying attention [Re: Wouter] #128371
01/11/08 08:23 AM
01/11/08 08:23 AM
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Rolf_Nilsen Offline

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I did not say I tought it made sense <img src="http://www.catsailor.com/forums/images/graemlins/grin.gif" alt="" /> We both remember the brit T alu-mast development project which was used as leverage to get the carbon mast ballot trough. But let us not tear apart what the ITA is trying to do.

Re: Someone is paying attention [Re: Rolf_Nilsen] #128372
01/11/08 08:26 AM
01/11/08 08:26 AM
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Matt M Offline
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Quote
Spending GBP100.000 should be no problem. Just invest in enough computer modelling and CFD analyzes. It dont have to make the boat faster, those writing the checks just need to believe it makes the boat faster.



I am not quite sure why the sailing community is so fixated on having limits and extensive restrictions to the equipment. This is definitely not an Olympic contraint. Look at all the money and design that goes into the Bobsled event. To carry the argument even further, I think we should make all the runners wear the same shoes, that would equal things up as well.

100K is easy to spend on a boat if you really want. Unless the event supplies the equipment and swaps out every race, there will be variation that is boat and not sailor related. Part of sailing though is fitting the sailor to the boat; Weight, sailing slyle, etc, etc.

The real question is how does this fit into this thread.... Sorry.

Matt

Answers to the question [Re: Wouter] #128373
01/11/08 09:08 AM
01/11/08 09:08 AM
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Wouter Offline
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situation -1- Probability is : 1 - (5/6)^6 = 0,67
situation -2- Probability is : 1 - (5/6)^12 - 12*(1/6)*(5/6)^11 = 0,62
situation -3- Probability is : 1 - (5/6)^18 - 18*(1/6)*(5/6)^17 - 18!/2!*(1/6)^2*(5/6)^16 = 0,60


I had to use the symbol "!" to denote the mathematical operation of faculty, which means :

18! = 18*17*16*15*14*13*12*11*10*9*8*7*6*5*4*3*2*1

As such the expression 18!/2! denotes

(18*17*16*15*14*13*12*11*10*9*8*7*6*5*4*3*2*1) / (2*1) = 18*17*16*15*14*13*12*11*10*9*8*7*6*5*4*3


Now some people will say, hey look the difference between situation -1- and -3- is quite large as it is comparing 0.67 to 0.60, we could have just found the answer by just simulating it (actually throwing the dice and counting the number of times the statements are satisfied !)

In reality the difference is really not that large and actually simulating the results would require 1000's throws to have the variance of the averaged experimental results be smaller then the probabilty difference of 0.67 - 0.60 = 0.07. It requires a good number more experiments to have a sifficiently high accuracy level assigned to your conclusion to make the conclusions dependable that one situation is more likely to happen then another WHILE ASSUMING LABORATORY LIKE CONDITIONS (tightly controlled) during the whole time you are simulating.

All that for a simple problem as stated above.

Now try the same statistical simulating strick in an environment where the conditions can change each 10 minutes and where the overal problem is a 1000 times more complex as we have in sail boat racing. Now try to discover which change to the design has actuall improved the performance of the boat. And now we know why the aging Hobie Tiger is still just as fast in capable hands as the nacra Infusion when both are using similar suits of sails.


Back to the original topic now.

Wouter

Last edited by Wouter; 01/11/08 09:19 AM.

Wouter Hijink
Formula 16 NED 243 (one-off; homebuild)
The Netherlands
Re: Answers to the question [Re: Wouter] #128374
01/11/08 04:14 PM
01/11/08 04:14 PM
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Robi Offline
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Re: Answers to the question [Re: Robi] #128375
01/12/08 09:51 AM
01/12/08 09:51 AM
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Western Australia
Stewart Offline OP
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I understand what the ITA is trying to do.. Place itself at the fore-front of cat sailing. Making its case for the T as the cat sailing world's olympic representative. So I'm not going to knock them in their efforts.

Personally I agree costs stated by the ITA and reasoning behind the dropping of the T are furfies. But this isn't a game of reality its a game of perception. At least they are trying to get cats back in.

Also, I don't believe there is anything new in the past 2 decades that have been introduced into cat/skiff building.. Nomex/carbon was state of the art back in 1985 and still is today. Sure they could go to boron/carbon but the benefit comes at a cost. Not in money but in brittleness.. To be honest the T isn't the lightest boat around so why bother? Nomex/carbon is a total waste in the steamroller weight classes. But that is only my opinion *smiles* Hell even the A class can be built down to weight without going to nomex/carbon..


Just thought it was cool to see the ITA acknowledge our little class!!

Last edited by Stewart; 01/12/08 10:31 AM.
Re: Answers to the question [Re: Wouter] #128376
01/13/08 10:49 PM
01/13/08 10:49 PM
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I had to use the symbol "!" to denote the mathematical operation of faculty


We call it "factorial" in English.

My favorite combinatorial problem: How many ways are there to put N identical balls in M distinct buckets? It's cool problem because you won't get it through brute force, but when you look at it the right way, you can just write down the answer, with only a basic background in combinatorics.

Another bit of brain candy for math lovers: How many zeros are on the end of "100!" ? This requires only very basic (pre algebra) math, and insight.

--Glenn

Re: Answers to the question [Re: Glenn_Brown] #128377
01/13/08 11:45 PM
01/13/08 11:45 PM
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My first guesstimate is 21...

the theory I've used has worked for 10! and 20!, but can't check higher numbers with my calculator.

Re: Answers to the question [Re: Glenn_Brown] #128378
01/14/08 04:58 AM
01/14/08 04:58 AM
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Wouter Offline
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Quote

We call it "factorial" in English.


Thanks.

Despite having done very large portions of my education in English I still fail to remember some of the correct names. Even if you become a fluent speaker, you will never become a native speaker.

Wouter


Wouter Hijink
Formula 16 NED 243 (one-off; homebuild)
The Netherlands
Re: Answers to the question [Re: ncik] #128379
01/14/08 11:07 AM
01/14/08 11:07 AM
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My first guesstimate is 21...


Well done! Want to explain why?

--Glenn

Re: Answers to the question [Re: Glenn_Brown] #128380
01/14/08 11:57 AM
01/14/08 11:57 AM
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Quote
My first guesstimate is 21...


Well done! Want to explain why?

--Glenn


I'll go for 24 zeros.

Each of the numbers ending in a zero create a zero on the end so that's 9 zero's
the 100 adds 2 more (so total is 11)
BUT 50 adds 2 zeros (2x50) so that is a total of 12 (we already countered one of them)

Each number that ends in 5 also creates zero's (so that's 10 zeros)

BUT 25 and 75 create 2 zeros (2x25 and 6x75) so that's 2 more

Total 24 zeros....



Don't understand why it's 21.......


F16 - GBR 553 - SOLD

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