Wel let's see... Last year in the Hogs Breath over a measured 82 actual miles on long running tacks before jibeing to short running tacks we had a Marstrom 20 complete the course in 4 hrs 38 Mins and 6 seconds. Add 15%, my guess would be more, to the distance for the jibes and we see it traveled 94 miles in 278 minutes and 6 seonds. That means the average speed was over 20 miles per hour. This year if the forecast holds, we will see similar conditions with the winds at 13 - 14 mph out of the east. I will look for the first boat on Smathers Beach, Key West, around 3PM. If you do not like the 15% choose your own, In any way it is fast. Without the fudge factor, it means over 17 mph, average, for the same trip. <img src="http://www.catsailor.com/forums/images/graemlins/cool.gif" alt="" /> Some say they saw over 25 at times on the GPS.
Have fun with this, The Nacras will be close by and maybe ahead.